Deal Sniper

Trevor Cohen

CF · Double-A · 22.0y · #1409 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

14 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Trevor Cohen scores 56 out of 100 (#1409 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    5.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • OPS slipping

    .840 last season to .709 this one.

  • Contact: plus-plus

    9.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 97% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Trevor Cohen #CPA-TC Auto 1h6j at $28.81, 92% over the $14.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $14.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

14 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Trevor Cohen Gold Wave Refractor Auto/50 Dual PSA 10/8

    Gold Wave Refractor · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 2d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $206.90

    modeled ~$116.49

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect Auto Trevor Cohen #CPA-TC Popcorn /5 PSA 9

    /5 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    modeled ~$290.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Trevor Cohen #/5 Red Lava Refractor Auto PSA 9 Giants 🔥

    /5 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 2 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether the signature is factory-certified or added later

    $1005.95

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome - Trevor Cohen 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $105.49

    modeled $22.49

    PASS

  • TREVOR COHEN 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO /250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $19.49

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - True Purple Trevor Cohen 1st Bowman Auto /250

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $19.49

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Trevor Cohen, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $14.40–$30.25, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $28.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $36.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +26%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $105.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level

    9.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    .104 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    38

    well below · better than 12% at his level

    5.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level

    55 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .709 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 48th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 48, a gap of +9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 64th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.8 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

153

AVG

.285

OBP

.320

SLG

.389

OPS

.709

better than 48%

HR

2

SB

14

BB%

5.2

K%

9.8

Is this player getting better?

Down from .840 to .709 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.840.709

Power

.075.104

Walks

15.4%5.2%

Strikeouts

11.5%9.8%

Last season, 130 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25$45.00 · /250 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market14 listed · 14 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
Listings
14

14 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$28.81
Median ask
$45.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$45.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$45.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 8 cards

  • $45.992025 Bowman Draft Trevor Cohen Chrome Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 GiantsPASS
  • TREVOR COHEN - 2025 Bowman Draft - Chrome Refractor 1st Auto /499 #CPA-TC GiantsPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Trevor Cohen Auto #CPA-TC GiantsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Trevor Cohen Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-TC GiantsPASS
  • $36.162025 Bowman Chrome Draft Trevor Cohen #CPA-TC Refractor Auto /499PASS
  • $39.742025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Trevor Cohen #CPA-TC Auto 0co5PASS
  • $28.812025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Trevor Cohen #CPA-TC Auto 1h6jPASS
  • Trevor Cohen 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Green Lava Auto SF Giants /99 PASS

Worth reading for this player