Chase Mobley
SP · Hill City Howlers · Low-A · 20.0y · #3267 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
41 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
34 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Postage alone is $4.99, and these sell for $3.00 delivered.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Chase Mobley scores 41 out of 100 (#3267 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–1 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 83% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 19 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$0.75–1.25midpoint $1.00
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-26 · 19 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 19 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Chase Mobley 1st AUTO 2025 Bowman #CPA-CMY CHROME PROSPECT AUTOGRAPH - Guardians at $17.98, 1698% over the $1 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $1 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: player not there yet.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
Chase Mobley 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect ORANGE REFRACTOR 19/25 RC z1
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$64.97
modeled $1.35–5.25
PASS
2025 Bowman Chase Mobley Chrome Auto TRUE Blue Refractor 1st #d /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$36.95
modeled $0.68–2.63
PASS
Chase Mobley 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto 108/250 Guardians
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.59–2.28
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-CMY Chase Mobley Guardians 1st Bowman Auto Purple /250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 83d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.59–2.28
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-CMY Chase Mobley Guardians 1st Bowman Auto Purple #/250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.59–2.28
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-CMY Chase Mobley Guardians 1st Bowman Auto Purple /250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 479d
Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $0.59–2.28
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.95 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.44 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +92%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $31.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $31.24 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +173%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $36.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $36.95 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $64.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $64.97 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +76%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.8 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $5.99 plus $1.50 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest seen
- $5.95
- Median ask
- $14.23
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.95
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $11.44
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 1 day ago.
The other 28 cards
- $31.242025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley Speckle 1st Refractor Auto 128/299PASS
- $31.242025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley Speckle 1st Refractor Auto 128/299PASS
- $11.442025 Bowman Chrome - Chase Mobley 1st Auto Refractor /499LOTTERY
- $13.202025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley 1st Refractor Auto /499 ClevelandLOTTERY
- $13.48Chase Mobley 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-CMY GuardiansLOTTERY
- $14.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Chase Mobley GuardiansLOTTERY
- $5.952025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley #CPA-CMY Guardians 1st Chrome Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $6.992025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CMY GuardiansLOTTERY
- $7.882025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-CMY - Chase Mobley - 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $8.492025 Bowman Chrome 1st Chase Mobley Auto #CPS-CMYLOTTERY
- $9.992025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CMY GuardiansLOTTERY
- $11.99CHASE MOBLEY 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH GUARDIANS AUTO #CPA-CMYLOTTERY
- $17.98Chase Mobley 1st AUTO 2025 Bowman #CPA-CMY CHROME PROSPECT AUTOGRAPH - GuardiansLOTTERY
- —CHASE MOBLEY 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH GUARDIANS AUTOPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CMY Guardians ProspectPASS
- —2025 Bowman - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Chase Mobley #CPA-CMY (AU, RC)PASS
- —2025 Bowman Baseball #CPA-CMY Chase Mobley 1st Chrome ON CARD Auto 🔥 GuardiansPASS
- —2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospects Chase Mobley Auto CPA-CMYPASS
- —2025 Bowman Guardians Chase Mobley 1st Chrome Prospect Auto CPA-CMYPASS
- —2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospects Chase Mobley Auto CPA-CMYPASS
- —CHASE MOBLEY 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH GUARDIANS AUTOPASS
- —Chase Mobley 2025 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect AUTOGRAPH Guardians RC C6PASS
- —2025 Bowman Baseball Chrome Chase Mobley 1st Bowman Auto Guardians #CPA-CMYPASS
- —2025 Bowman - Chrome Prospects Chase Mobley #BCP-56 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Chase Mobley 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-CMYPASS
- $23.072025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Chase Mobley #CPA-CMY Auto pe8LOTTERY
- $16.462025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 358/499 Chase Mobley #CPA-CMY Auto 09anLOTTERY
- $16.742025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 225/499 Chase Mobley #CPA-CMY Auto 13c1LOTTERY
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run