Heriberto Hernández
LF · Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · Triple-A · 26.0y · #3674 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
39 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
21 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Heriberto Hernández scores 39 out of 100 (#3674 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: plus-plus — 4.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 98% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Power: below average
.091 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Contact: plus-plus
4.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 98% at his level.
Bat-first profile
LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Speed: plus-plus
72 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 98% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Elite speed (98th percentile); 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
25 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Corner-only profile
LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HH — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 6 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-HH
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $13.30 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
21 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Bowman Chrome Sapphire HERIBERTO HERNANDEZ 1st AUTO ORANGE Refractor /25
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 104d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
HERIBERTO HERNANDEZ 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO SP RC /299
/299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 52h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$36.48
modeled ~$5.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Speckle Heriberto Hernandez Auto 098/299 1st bowman
/299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 14d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$11.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
BGS 9/10 2021 Bowman - Heriberto Hernandez 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-HH
/10 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 4d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Heriberto Hernandez! Marlins! Rookie! Autograph!
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$13.30
modeled ~$5.00
LOTTERY
2021 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Heriberto Hernandez! Marlins! Rookie! Autograph!
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 42d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$14.82
modeled ~$5.00
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.30, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.30 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $49.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $49.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +276%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $31.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $31.20 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -38%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $59.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $59.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +92%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $37.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $37.10 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -38%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $36.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $36.48 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -2%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $56.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $56.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +56%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $54.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $54.60 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -4%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 60 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 60 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level
4.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level
.091 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
53
above average · better than 62% at his level
12.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level
72 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
48
average · better than 42% at his level · the result, not a skill
.724 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 70th percentile of the cohort, production at the 42th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 90% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 70 and his production sits at 42, a gap of +28. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 90th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
25
AVG
.273
OBP
.360
SLG
.364
OPS
.724
better than 42%
HR
0
SB
3
BB%
12.0
K%
4.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
- Listings
- 21
- Lowest live
- $13.30
- Median ask
- $35.81
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $13.30
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $36.48
21 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 15 cards
- $16.982021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Heriberto Hernandez 1st First Auto Autograph CPA-HHLOTTERY
- $24.872021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Heriberto Hernandez 1st Bowman AUTO #CPA-HHLOTTERY
- $31.202021 1st Bowman SAPPHIRE Edition RC AUTO Heriberto Hernandez! Rookie! Autograph!NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Heriberto Hernandez 1st Bowman Auto CPA-HH RangersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Heriberto HernandezNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $35.132021 Bowman Mega Box Chrome Mojo Heriberto Hernandez SGC 9.5 Mint+ Auto 0z7eNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $56.992021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Purple Refractor /250 Heriberto Hernandez Auto 0x0kNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $59.99Heriberto Hernandez 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor Rc Auto (448/499)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $49.99Heriberto Hernandez 2021 Bowman Chrome Mega Box Mojo Refractor Rc AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome /75 Heriberto Hernandez 1ST ON CARD AUTO YELLOW #CPA-HH MiamiPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Heriberto Hernandez Mojo Refractor AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $54.602021 1st Bowman GREEN Shimmer RC AUTO Heriberto Hernandez! Rookie! Autograph /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $37.102021 1st Bowman SPECKLE RC AUTO Heriberto Hernandez! Rookie! Autograph /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 1st Bowman SPECKLE RC AUTO Heriberto Hernandez Rookie Autograph /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Draft HERIBERTO HERNANDEZ 1st Non-Auto Chrome RAYS #BDC-100NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run