Deal Sniper

Gilberto Celestino

CF · Round Rock Express · Triple-A · 27.0y · #3793 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

37 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

27 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Gilberto Celestino scores 37 out of 100 (#3793 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus — 38 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 89% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Power: below average

    .118 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus

    38 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 89% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Contact: above average

    20.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 62% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for; 27.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-GC — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 16 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 17 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-GC

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 16 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

27 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino 1st Bowman Auto CPA-GC Twins

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 650d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $2.98

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Gilberto Celestino Auto 1st Rookie 2021 Bowman Chrome #CPA-GC Twins Toro Torin

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 12d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.50

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • GILBERTO CELESTINO 2021 Bowman Chrome Auto & Fuchsia Refractor BCP-232 1st TWINS

    Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 650d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $3.99

    modeled ~$8.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Minnesota Twins Auto Rookie 2021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino 1st #CPA-GC

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 549d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.99

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Gilberto Celestino #CPA-GC Minnesota Twins MLB

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 401d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $4.88

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st GILBERTO CELESTINO Minnesota Twins Prospect On Card Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.50

    modeled ~$8.04

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $2.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +34%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.68, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $8.68 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +118%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level

    20.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    46

    below average · better than 35% at his level

    .118 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level

    11.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    62

    plus · better than 89% at his level

    38 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    50

    average · better than 51% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .756 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 61th percentile of the cohort, production at the 51th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 61 and his production sits at 51, a gap of +10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 63th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.5 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

205

AVG

.275

OBP

.363

SLG

.393

OPS

.756

better than 51%

HR

3

SB

13

BB%

11.7

K%

20.5

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .744 to .756 OPS.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.744→.756

Power

.110→.118

Walks

12.0%→11.7%

Strikeouts

21.8%▼20.5%

Last season, 426 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market27 listed · 27 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
Listings
27

27 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.98
Median ask
$9.11
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$24.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 21 cards

  • $6.282021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-GC TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.732021 Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Auto CPA-GC Minnesota Twins - GILBERTO CELESTINONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.492021 BOWMAN CHROME GILBERTO CELESTINO CPA-GC 1ST PROSPECT AUTO GUARDIANSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.682021 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor /250 Gilberto Celestino Rookie Auto RC uk2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.542021 1st Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino Prospect Auto #CPA-GC TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.502021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino 1st Bowman Prospect AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.99GILBERTO CELESTINO 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-GCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $18.192021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPAGC TWINSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $21.252021 Bowman Chrome Base Auto #CPA-GC Gilberto Celestino 1st Prospect - TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $22.98Gilberto Celestino Auto SGC 10/9 CLEARANCE! 1st Bowman Chrome 2021 #CPA-GC MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $24.992021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino 1st Bowman Auto Green Atomic #54/99 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $30.24Gilberto Celestino 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 2021 #CPA-GC MINT SGC 10 GMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $38.242021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino Prospect Auto #CPA-GC PSA 9 TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.892021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Gilberto Celestino PSA 9 MINT Rookie Auto RC 11oqNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —GILBERTO CELESTINO 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST GREEN REFRACTOR AUTO /99 bookendNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —GILBERTO CELESTINO 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO /299 TWINSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Gilberto Celestino /250 auto purple Minnesota Twins 2021 Bowman Chrome 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino Auto #CPA-GC Twins 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino RC Auto – 1st Bowman – Minnesota TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Base Auto #CPA-GC Gilberto Celestino 1st Prospect - TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2021 Bowman Chrome Gilberto Celestino 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-GC C199NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now