Jhonkensy Noel
RF · Norfolk Tides · Triple-A · 25.0y · #3828 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
36 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
20 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Jhonkensy Noel scores 36 out of 100 (#3828 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 41 on the 20–80 scale (30.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Contact: well below
30.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Bat-first profile
RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
What the hobby pays up for
25.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 41 on the 20–80 scale (30.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Corner-only profile
RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JN — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JN
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
20 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".
2022 Bowman Chrome Jhonkensy Noel Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st Bowman
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.25
modeled ~$10.00
PASS
2022 Bowman Jhonkensy Noel Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JN Guardians
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 144d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.24
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
2022 Bowman Jhonkensy Noel 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-JN Cleveland
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 188d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.92
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
2022 Bowman Jhonkensy Noel Chrome Prospect Autograph 1st Auto FX1368
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 467d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$19.99
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
2022 Bowman Chrome Jhonkensy Noel Refractor Auto #78/499 PSA 9 Mint
/499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 129d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$31.94
modeled ~$30.00
PASS
2022 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Jhonkensy Noel #CPA-JN PSA 9 MINT
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 147d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$43.15
modeled ~$35.99
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.24 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.25 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -12%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $261.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $261.78 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +3511%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $63.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $63.32 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -76%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $307.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $307.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +385%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 44 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 44 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
30.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
47
average · better than 38% at his level
.122 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
44
below average · better than 27% at his level
8.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
36
well below · better than 8% at his level · the result, not a skill
.460 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 28th percentile of the cohort, production at the 8th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 28 and his production sits at 8, a gap of +20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 79th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
120
AVG
.121
OBP
.217
SLG
.243
OPS
.460
better than 8%
HR
3
SB
0
BB%
8.3
K%
30.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
- Listings
- 20
- Lowest seen
- $7.25
- Median ask
- $37.55
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $7.25
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $7.25
20 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 14 cards
- $63.322025 Bowman Chrome Rookie Gold Refractor 27/50 Jhonkensy Noel Auto RC 0w27PASS
- $256.50JHONKENSY NOEL 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1st ATOMIC REFRACTOR AUTO SN 032/100 PSA 9 RCPASS
- $261.782022 Jhonkensy Noel 1st Bowman Chrome Green Shimmer Refractor Auto /99 ClevelandPASS
- $307.00Bowman 1st Sapphire Jhonkensy Noel Orange Auto/25PASS
- —2021 1st Bowman Chrome Jhonkensy Noel RC True Green Refractor Auto /99 PSA 9PASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Jhonkensy Noel CPA-JN 1st AutoPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Jhonkensy Noel Refractor 1st Auto /499PASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Jhonkensy Noel 1st Bowman SGC 10|9.5 Auto CPA-JN GuardiansPASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Jhonkensy Noel 1st Bowman Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA9PASS
- —Jhonkensy Noel PSA 9 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO BLUE REFRACTOR /150 PASS
- —Jhonkensy Noel 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph RC Rookie Mint PSA 9PASS
- —2022 Bowman Chrome JHONKENSY NOEL 1st Refractor Auto /499 CPA-JN PSA 9PASS
- —Bowman 1st Sapphire Jhonkensy Noel Orange Auto/25 PSA 9 PASS
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Cleveland Guardians Jhonkensy Noel AUTO Prospect PSA 10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run