Deal Sniper

Pedro Pineda

CF · High-A · 22.0y · #2072 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

49 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

35 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda 1st Auto -… at $4.50. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Pedro Pineda scores 49 out of 100 (#2072 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: below average

    8.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • OPS slipping

    .814 last season to .744 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .205 last season to .149 this one.

  • Speed: above average

    25 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 64% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PP — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 16 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-PP

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2021 Topps Bowman Chrome Athletics Pedro Pineda 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-PP at $9.99, 532% over the $1.58 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/499 at or under $1.58 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

35 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda 1st Auto - Oakland Athletics

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.50

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda 1st Auto - Oakland Athletics

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $4.50

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Athletics

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Athletics

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Athletics

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 51d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Athletics

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 74d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +122%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +15%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +33%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -5%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -24%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    44

    below average · better than 26% at his level

    30.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    .149 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    8.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    54

    above average · better than 64% at his level

    25 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .744 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 44th percentile of the cohort, production at the 59th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 44 and his production sits at 59, a gap of -15. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 26th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.6 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

283

AVG

.263

OBP

.332

SLG

.412

OPS

.744

better than 59%

HR

7

SB

12

BB%

8.1

K%

30.7

Is this player getting better?

Down from .814 to .744 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.814.744

Power

.205.149

Walks

12.2%8.1%

Strikeouts

29.3%30.7%

Last season, 222 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market35 listed · 35 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
Listings
35

35 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.50
Median ask
$10.99
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.50
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$9.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 28 cards

  • $4.99Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Athletics LOTTERY
  • $4.99Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-PP 1st Bowman A'sLOTTERY
  • $4.99Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Athletics LOTTERY
  • $4.99Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Prospect Athletics LOTTERY
  • $4.99Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Athletics CPA-PPLOTTERY
  • $10.992021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman PEDRO PINEDA Auto #CPA-PPLOTTERY
  • $11.482021 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 212/299 1st Auto Speckle #CPA-PP - PEDRO PINEDALOTTERY
  • $13.99PEDRO PINEDA 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-PPLOTTERY
  • $14.482022 Bowman Chrome PEDRO PINEDA Rookie Prospect Green Refractor 1st Auto SP /99LOTTERY
  • $14.99PEDRO PINEDA AUTO 1st 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph Rookie Card RCLOTTERY
  • $15.312021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda 61/100 Atomic On Card Auto 1st A's SP ZC1LOTTERY
  • $36.002021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Pedro Pineda 1st Auto GEM MINT #CPAPP PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $36.002021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda 1st Auto PSA 10 GEM MINT Athletics AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.502021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda 1st Refractor auto /499 Athletics PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $67.982021 Bowman Chrome 1st Pedro Pineda Auto Blue Mojo Refractor /150 PSA 10 GEM MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $89.362021 Bowman Chrome PEDRO PINEDA 1st Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 PSA 10 NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Pedro PinedaNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Pedro Pineda Green Refractor Auto /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda RC 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-PPNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • ​2021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto /250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • PEDRO PINEDA 2021 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO 1ST REFRACTOR #/499 SGC 10/10 GEM NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.382021 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 348/499 Pedro Pineda PSA 9 MINT Auto 1b8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $15.252021 Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda Auto PSA 9 A's CPA-PPLOTTERY
  • $19.952021 Topps Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda Prospect Autographs Auto CPA-PP PSA 9 MINTLOTTERY
  • Pedro Pineda Signed 2021 Bowman Chrome Prospects #BCP216 RC (PSA | Auto 10) RookNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.982021 1st Bowman Chrome Pedro Pineda Green Sapphire Auto 99/99 AthleticsLOTTERY
  • $9.992021 Topps Bowman Chrome Athletics Pedro Pineda 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-PPLOTTERY
  • Pedro Pineda 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Year Refractor Autograph Auto /499 AthleticsPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player