Deal Sniper

James Tibbs III

RF · Triple-A · 23.0y · #11 of 7,922 we rate

The player
STRONG PROSPECT

89 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $60.98, over the $39.99–49.99 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome - #CPA-JT James… at $60.98. Needs a $26 drop.

Our take

Strong prospect, expensive market.

James Tibbs III scores 89 out of 100 (#11 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $40–55 off 2 confirmed sales.

The player is not the problem here; the entry is. Waiting for a reset costs nothing while the baseball case is intact.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — rF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    16.8% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 90% at his level.

  • The case is strengthening

    Baseball momentum 83/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • Bat-first profile

    RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Power: plus

    .261 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 88% at his level.

Why now

  • 4 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JT — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$39.60–54.99midpoint $44.00

Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 3 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JT

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT JAMES TIBBS III 1ST BOWMAN CHROME AUTO GIANTS at $306, 596% over the $39.99–49.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $39.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $26 drop
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome - #CPA-JT James… at or under $35.20 delivered.

What is for sale right now

42 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 42 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 36 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire James Tibbs III Chrome Auto Refractor Green 1st /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 44d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    $289.98

    modeled $42.77–139

    WATCH

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Green Refractor James Tibbs III 1st Rookie AUTO /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 46d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    modeled $42.77–139

    WATCH

  • 2024 Bowman Draft James Tibbs III 1st Green Sapphire Auto /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 46d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    modeled $42.77–139

    WATCH

  • JAMES TIBBS III 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1ST TRUE GREEN REFRACTOR RC AUTO /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 67d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    modeled $42.77–139

    WATCH

  • James Tibbs III 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Blue Refractor 1st RC Auto 46/150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 30d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    $305.99

    modeled $35.64–115

    WATCH

  • 2024 Topps Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto HTA /150 James Tibbs III CPA-JT Giants

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 47d

    Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way

    modeled $35.64–115

    WATCH

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on James Tibbs III, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $30.49–$64.03, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $60.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • HTA ChoiceTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $255.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +318%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $348.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +37%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $280.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -20%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $231.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $137.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    125 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -41%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $305.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +122%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $512.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +68%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $289.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -44%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $918.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +217%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 56 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    22.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    62

    plus · better than 88% at his level

    .261 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level

    16.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    8 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .986 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    66

    plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 91th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 84% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 91, a gap of -23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 16th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 8.4 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.986 OPS in 537 PA (not ranked against his level)
  • form is climbing

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

537

AVG

.302

OBP

.423

SLG

.563

OPS

.986

better than 91%

HR

27

SB

7

BB%

16.8

K%

22.2

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .755 to .986 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.755.986

Power

.148.261

Walks

15.7%16.8%

Strikeouts

24.5%22.2%

Last season, 306 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market42 listed · 42 eBay-verified · 36 not shown above
Listings
42

42 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$60.98
Median ask
$291.74
Cheapest 1st auto
$60.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$289.98

Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.

The other 36 cards

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome James Tibbs 1st Auto Blue Wave Refractor /150 Rookie RCWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft James Tibbs III Chrome Auto Blue Wave Refractor 1st #/150WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome James Tibbs 1st Auto Blue Wave Refractor /150 Rookie RCWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft - 1st Auto James Tibbs III #CPA-JT Purple /250 (AU, RC)WATCH
  • James Tibbs III 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Auto 2/250WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome James Tibbs III #CPA-JT 1st Chrome Auto Purple /250 WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome James Tibbs 1st Auto Blue Wave Refractor #CPA-JT PSA 9WATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JT 1st Chrome Auto Refractor /499 James Tibbs IIIWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect Auto James Tibbs III #CPA-JT PSA 9 MINTWATCH
  • 2024 Bowman Draft James Tibbs III - 1st Prospect Auto - Bubble Gum /5 - PSA 9WATCH
  • $348.75James Tibbs III 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JT First (1st) AUTO Aqua Lava [#067/199]WATCH
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome James Tibbs III Mega Auto Autograph Mojo Refractor DodgersPASS
  • $231.982024 Bowman Chrome Draft James Tibbs III Aqua Lava Refractor Rookie RC Auto /199PASS
  • $348.75James Tibbs III 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JT First (1st) AUTO Refractor [#010/499]PASS
  • $137.902026 Bowman James Tibbs III /125 * Aqua * Refractor Auto On Card 1st DodgersPASS
  • $280.002024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto James Tibbs Aqua Lava /199 Giants (See Description)PASS
  • $512.902024 1st Bowman Draft James Tibbs III /150 * HTA Choice * Refractor Auto DodgersPASS
  • $918.902024 1st Bowman Draft James Tibbs III /99 * True Green * Refractor Auto DodgersPASS
  • $293.502024 Bowman Draft Chrome James Tibbs III 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JT PSA 10 DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $349.972024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st First Auto James Tibbs III SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome James Tibbs III 1st Auto Blue Wave Refractor /150 PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire James Tibbs Auto Authentic Signed BDC-40 Dodgers PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire James Tibbs Auto Authentic Signed BDC-40 Dodgers PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire James Tibbs Auto Authentic Signed BDC-40 Dodgers PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire James Tibbs Auto Authentic Signed BDC-40 Dodgers PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2024 Bowman Draft James Tibbs III Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JT PSA 10 B909NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $60.982024 Bowman Draft Chrome - #CPA-JT James Tibbs III 1st AutoPASS
  • $95.00JAMES TIBBS III - 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-JT Chrome Auto 1st Prospect GiantsPASS
  • $255.172024 Bowman Draft - 1st Bowman Chrome Auto James Tibbs III #CPA-JT HTA ChoicePASS
  • $273.62James Tibbs 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Dodgers Top Prospect AAA StatsPASS
  • $306.252024 BOWMAN DRAFT JAMES TIBBS III 1ST BOWMAN CHROME AUTO GIANTSPASS
  • Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto James Tibbs III Giants CPA-JT RCPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome James Tibbs III Auto 1st BowmanPASS
  • 2024 Bowman1st Sapphire James Tibbs III #CPA-JT Prospect Auto 70/199 GiantsPASS
  • 2024 Bowman Chrome James Tibbs III 1st Bowman Base Auto #CPA-JTPASS
  • JAMES TIBBS III 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPHS AUTO #CPA-JT GIANTS Q7895PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player