Denzer Guzman
3B · Salt Lake Bees · Triple-A · 22.0y · #6 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- ELITE PROFILE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
90 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
19 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Denzer Guzman 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire… at $40.98. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Elite prospect, untested market.
Denzer Guzman scores 90 out of 100 (#6 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
Power: plus
.235 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 90/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
17.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 75% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
What is for sale right now
19 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 18 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 12 are under "The whole live market".
Denzer Guzman 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Purple Refractor /250 #CPA-DG Angels
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $40
WATCH
Denzer Guzman 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire 1st On-Card Autograph Auto! LA Angels
Sapphire · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Waiting on sales
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$40.98
modeled ~$42.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 1st Bowman BLUE Refractor RC AUTO Denzer Guzman! Rookie! Autograph! /150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$52.50
modeled ~$378.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 1st Bowman AQUA Sapphire RC AUTO Denzer Guzman PSA 9! Rookie Autograph /99
/99 · PSA 9 · listed 1d
Waiting on sales
$80.50
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 1st Bowman GREEN Sapphire RC AUTO Denzer Guzman Angels Rookie Autograph /50
/50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Waiting on sales
$115.50
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Denzer Guzman 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Refractor /99 #BSPA-DG 1st Bowman Auto
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Waiting on sales
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$125.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Denzer Guzman, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $20.49–$43.03, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $40.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $40.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $52.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $52.50 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +28%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $125.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $125.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +138%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $115.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $115.50 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -8%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
57
above average · better than 75% at his level
17.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
.235 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
48
average · better than 44% at his level
10.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
55
above average · better than 69% at his level
20 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · the result, not a skill
.974 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 90th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 83% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 90, a gap of -22. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 17th percentile.
Will he get there?
About as likely as prospects get 8.8 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- young for Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.974 OPS in 268 PA (not ranked against his level)
- form is climbing
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
268
AVG
.336
OBP
.403
SLG
.571
OPS
.974
better than 90%
HR
12
SB
9
BB%
10.1
K%
17.9
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .749 to .974 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.749▲.974
Power
.173▲.235
Walks
10.6%→10.1%
Strikeouts
23.8%▼17.9%
Last season, 386 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 12 not shown above
- Listings
- 19
- Lowest seen
- $40.98
- Median ask
- $115.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $40.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $80.50
19 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 12 hours ago.
The other 12 cards
- $210.002022 Bowman Chrome 1st Sapphire Denzer Guzman Refractor Auto PSA 10 Gem Mint SPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $307.98DENZER GUZMAN 2022 BOWMAN CHROME ATOMIC REFRACTOR 1ST AUTO RC # /100 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Denzer Guzman 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Aqua Sapphire Refractor /99 #CPA-DGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Denzer Guzman 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Yellow Refractor /75 #CPA-DG AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Denzer Guzman 2022 Bowman Chrome MOJO Refractor Auto #CPA-DG 1st AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman REFRACTOR RC AUTO Denzer Guzman! Angels! Rookie! Autograph /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Denzer Guzman 1st Auto Speckle Refractor /299 Auto PSA 10 RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Denzer Guzman 1st RC Auto Refractor /499 PSA 10 CPA-DGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman GREEN Sapphire RC AUTO Denzer Guzman Angels Rookie Autograph /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 DENZER GUZMAN BOWMAN CHROME 1st SAPPHIRE AQUA /99 AUTO AUTOGRAPH PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Denzer Guzman Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Green Refractor /99 Psa GEM MT 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Denzer Guzman Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Refractor /150 Psa GEM MT 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run