Kaelen Culpepper
SS · St. Paul Saints · Triple-A · 23.0y · #88 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
80 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $50.99, over the $39.99–46 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft KAELEN CULPEPPER Chrome… at $47.99. Needs a $12 drop.
Our take
Strong prospect, expensive market.
Kaelen Culpepper scores 80 out of 100 (#88 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $40–46 off 6 confirmed sales.
The player is not the problem here; the entry is. Waiting for a reset costs nothing while the baseball case is intact.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
Speed: plus
30 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 82% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 69/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: above average
.207 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 76% at his level.
Why now
11 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-KC — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$39.99–46midpoint $46.00
Confirmed· 6 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 11 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-KC
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-KC at $350, 367% over the $75 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $75 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $12 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2024 Bowman Draft KAELEN CULPEPPER Chrome… at or under $36.80 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
63 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 62 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 56 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 10 Gem Twins
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 3d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $150–166
WATCH · 3% under
Kaelen Culpepper 2026 Bowman 1st Prospect Auto Purple /250 SP RC RARE MIN MLB
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 86h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $31.19–83.72
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft KAELEN CULPEPPER Chrome 1st AUTO RC Autograph Twins🔥
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d
Needs a $12 drop · 1 other thing in the way
$47.99
sold $39.99–46
PASS
Kaelen Culpepper 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto /250 Class of 2024 #C24-KC Twins
/250 · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 7d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$54.99
modeled $31.19–83.72
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Year Orange Refractor Auto #/25!
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$1299.00
modeled $71.98–193
PASS
Kaelen Culpepper 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-KC Chrome Auto Rookie 1st RC Twins🔥
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $39.99–46
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Kaelen Culpepper, just what the money can do today.
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /499$49.99Watch
- Christian MooreRefractor · /499$45.94Watch
- Charles McAdoo/150$45.16Watch47% under fair value
Compared within $24.00–$50.39, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
2 listings watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $47.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $125.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $125.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +163%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $54.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $54.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -56%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $135.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $135.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +147%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $314.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $314.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +132%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $215.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $215.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -31%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $306.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $306.98 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +42%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $305.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $305.16 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1299.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1299.00 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +326%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
19 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 56 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level
18.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level
.207 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
52
average · better than 56% at his level
11.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
59
plus · better than 82% at his level
30 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · the result, not a skill
.845 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 72th percentile of the cohort, production at the 74th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 72 and his production sits at 74, a gap of -2. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 43th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.9 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.845 OPS in 343 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
343
AVG
.271
OBP
.367
SLG
.478
OPS
.845
better than 74%
HR
14
SB
17
BB%
11.4
K%
18.7
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .827 to .845 OPS.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.827→.845
Power
.175▲.207
Walks
8.9%▲11.4%
Strikeouts
18.5%→18.7%
Last season, 270 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for2 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market63 listed · 63 eBay-verified · 56 not shown above
- Listings
- 63
- Lowest live
- $47.99
- Median ask
- $143.68
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $47.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $125.98
63 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 56 cards
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper #CPA-KC Chrome Auto Gold Shimmer /50 1stPASS
- $306.982024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome AUTO Kaelen Culpepper SPARKLE Refractor /71 CPA-KCPASS
- $306.982024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper Chrome Auto Sparkles Refractor 1st #/71 TwinsPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper #CPA-KC Chrome Auto Sparkle Refractor /71 1stPASS
- —Kaelen Culpepper Bowman Draft 2024 Green Sapphire /99 Auto Twins Autograph 1stPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Kaelen Culpepper 1st Auto Green Lava Refractor /99 Twins SPPASS
- —2024 Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Chrome True Blue Refractor Auto /150 (AU, RC)PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Chrome Sapphire Auto 150/199 Twins RookiePASS
- $135.982024 1st Bowman Chrome /250 Purple Kaelen Culpepper Auto #CPA-KC - MIN RookiePASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Kaelen Culpepper #CPA-KC Purple 1st /250PASS
- $125.982024 Bowman Chrome Draft KAELEN CULPEPPER refractor auto - 279/499 - RC - 1stPASS
- $125.982024 Bowman Draft KAELEN CULPEPPER Chrome 1st REFRACTOR AUTO /499 RC Autograph🔥PASS
- $144.872024 Bowman Draft 🔥 Kaelen Culpepper 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-KC 💎PASS
- $350.002024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-KCPASS
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-KCPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-KCPASS
- $50.99Kaelen Culpepper Auto 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-KC Chrome Prospect AutographsPASS
- —KAELEN CULPEPPER 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-KC GOLD SHIMMER /50 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMPASS
- —KAELEN CULPEPPER 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-KC TRUE BLUE /150 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMPASS
- —KAELEN CULPEPPER 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-KC BLUE WAVE /150 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMPASS
- —KAELEN CULPEPPER 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-KC PURPLE /250 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMPASS
- $215.982024 Bowman Draft 1st Kaelen Culpepper Auto /150 HTA CPA-KC Mojo RefractorPASS
- $305.162024 Bowman Draft - #CPA-KC Kaelen Culpepper - 1st Yellow Refractor Auto #41/75PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 #CPA-KCPASS
- $314.992024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper Blue Refractor Auto /150 1st Bowman TwinsPASS
- —Kaelen Culpepper True Green Refractor Auto /99 1st Bowman 2024 DraftPASS
- —Kaelen Culpepper 2024 1st Bowman Auto True Yellow /75 Au Rc TwinsPASS
- $253.68Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Auto /199PASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman HTA Choice Auto /150 PSA 10PASS
- $142.49Kaelen Culpepper 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $255.952024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 9 TwinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $325.00Kaelen Culpepper 2024 Bowman Chrome Auto Psa9 /71 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1529.982024 Bowman Draft - Kaelen Culpepper 1st Chrome Peanut Refractor Auto 5/5 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —KAELEN CULPEPPER 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST GOLD SHIMMER REFRACTOR AUTO RC PSA 9 /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft - Kaelen Culpepper 1st Gold Wave First Auto /50 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Kaelen Culpepper Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Auto /99 Minnesota Twins PSA AUTHENTICNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Kaelen Culpepper Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Auto /200 Minnesota Twin PSA AUTHENTICNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Kaelen Culpepper Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Auto /250 Minnesota Twin PSA AUTHENTICNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —KAELEN CULPEPPER BOWMAN 1st Auto Green Sapphire /99 PSA 9 AUTO 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 KAELEN CULPEPPER 1st BOWMAN CHROME TRUE BLUE AUTO AUTOGRAPH /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $58.00Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-KCPASS
- $62.982024 Bowman Draft; Kaelen Culpepper; Auto CPA-KC 1st (RC)PASS
- $65.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome KAELEN CULPEPPER CPA-KC 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- $74.172024 Bowman Chrome Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KC TwinsPASS
- $98.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KC TwinsPASS
- $108.722024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Kaelen Culpepper #CPA-KC Auto 4l3PASS
- $299.99Kaelen Culpepper 🔥 1st Bowman AUTO PSA 10 💎 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-KCPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome‼️KAELEN CULPEPPER‼️1st Bowman AUTO #CPA-KCPASS
- —Kaelen Culpepper 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Twins #CPA-KCPASS
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Kaelen Culpepper CPA-KCPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Kaelen Culpepper 1st AutoPASS
- —Kaelen Culpepper Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto Minnesota Twins DebutPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-KC TwinsPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper CPA-KC 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect AUTOPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Kaelen Culpepper 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10PASS
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC Kaelen Culpepper #CPA-KCPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run