Adrian De Leon
C · Double-A · 22.0y · #4328 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
36 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
79 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st… at $5.48. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Adrian De Leon scores 36 out of 100 (#4328 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–4 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 86 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
Contact: bottom of the scale
40.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (17th percentile); C sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
86 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 32 on the 20–80 scale (40.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 52 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.23–3.73midpoint $2.98
Model estimate· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-25 · 60 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 52 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /99 at $6.25 costs 2.13× base, and print run alone suggests 1.80×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
79 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 79 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 73 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adrian De Leon CPA-ADC Diamondbacks
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 21d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.94
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-ADC Diamondbacks
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.98
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon 1st Auto CPA-ADC
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 33d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$2.99
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon #CPA-ADC 1st Bowman Auto! Diamondbacks!
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 536d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.19
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-ADC Diamondbacks 1st Bowman
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 282d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.95
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Prospect Auto 1st Autograph #CPA-ADC
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 624d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.95
modeled ~$8.00
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder11 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.94 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.48 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +86%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.95 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +264%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.49 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -47%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.25 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $48.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $48.76 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +680%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.62 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -60%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -59%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.37, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.37 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +218%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.25 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -75%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.48 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +164%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 41 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 41 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
32
bottom of the scale · better than 4% at his level
40.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
40
well below · better than 17% at his level
.069 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
48
average · better than 44% at his level
9.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level
7 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
38
well below · better than 12% at his level · the result, not a skill
.507 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 24th percentile of the cohort, production at the 12th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 24 and his production sits at 12, a gap of +12. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 70th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
86
AVG
.164
OBP
.274
SLG
.233
OPS
.507
better than 12%
HR
1
SB
1
BB%
9.3
K%
40.7
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $1.49 plus $1.49 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market79 listed · 79 eBay-verified · 73 not shown above
- Listings
- 79
- Lowest live
- $2.94
- Median ask
- $6.25
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.94
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.48
79 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 73 cards
- $3.992024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Adrian De Leon Autograph RC DIAMONDBACKS AUTOLOTTERY
- $4.002024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto ADRIAN DE LEON Chrome Prospect Autograph #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $4.12ADRIAN DE LEON 2024 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTOGRAPHS 1ST BOWMAN AUTO ARIZONALOTTERY
- $4.25Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Rookie Base RC AutoLOTTERY
- $4.282024 Bowman Chrome Prospect - Adrian De Leon - 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $4.472024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ADC Adrian De Leon 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $4.472024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ADC Adrian De Leon 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $4.48Adrian De Leon Auto 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-ADC Arizona DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $4.952024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $4.982024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon 1st Prospect Auto Arizona DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $4.982024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto 1st #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $4.99Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Diamondbacks LOTTERY
- $5.052024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto 1st #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $5.052024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto 1st #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $5.052024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto 1st #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $5.242024 Bowman Chrome 1st ADRIAN DE LEON AUTO! Arizona DBacksLOTTERY
- $5.282024 Bowman Chrome ADRIAN DE LEON 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $5.48Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $5.502024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon 1st Prospect Auto #CPA- ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $5.992024 Bowman Chrome Prospect - ADRIAN DE LEON #CPA-ADC (RC) 1st Bowman AUTOLOTTERY
- $5.99Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $6.102024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Autograph Auto Adrian De LeonLOTTERY
- $6.252024 Bowman Chrome - 1st Bowman Adrian De Leon Auto #CPA-ADC Green Lava /99LOTTERY
- $6.25ADRIAN DE LEON 2024 BOWMAN CHROME PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO 1ST #234/250 QQLOTTERY
- $6.302024 Bowman Chrome 1st - Adrian De Leon #CPA-ADC Arizona Diamondbacks - AUTOLOTTERY
- $6.34Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st Prospect RookieLOTTERY
- $6.982024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon #CPA-ADC 1st Prospect Chrome Auto DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $7.242024 Bowman Chrome ADRIAN DE LEON 1st RC On Card AUTO DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $7.99Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ADC 1st HTA Mojo Refractor AUTO /150LOTTERY
- $8.00Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Rookie Base RC AutoLOTTERY
- $9.512024 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-ADC 1ST BOWMAN ADRIAN De LEON AUTO ARIZONA D-BACKSLOTTERY
- $9.89Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $9.992024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon 1st Bowman Auto RC – Diamondbacks ProspectLOTTERY
- $9.992024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $10.492024 Bowman Chrome 1st ADRIAN DE LEON Speckle On Card Auto 181/299 #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $10.96Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ADC 1st Bowman Auto - D'Backs ProspectLOTTERY
- $10.99Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospects Bowman Auto - Arizona CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $11.242024 Bowman Chrome ADRIAN DE LEON 1st RC On Card AUTO DiamondbacksLOTTERY
- $12.722024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon 1st Bowman Refractor Auto #328/499LOTTERY
- $12.94Adrian De Leon Diamondbacks 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $12.992024 Topps 1st Bowman Chrome ADRIAN DE LEON Auto - Arizona Diamondbacks #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $13.102024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $13.242024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Bowman 1st Refractor Auto /499LOTTERY
- $14.502024 BOWMAN CHROME ADRIAN DE LEON 1ST BOWMAN AUTO CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $16.48Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Yellow Refractor Auto /75 #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $19.622024 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 40/150 Adrian De Leon Auto 0w8pLOTTERY
- $19.952024 BOWMAN CHROME ADRIAN DE LEON 1ST AUTO SPARKLE REFRACTOR 158/299 #CPA-ADCLOTTERY
- $25.372024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mini-Diamond Refractor /100 Adrian De Leon Auto 1bi0NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $48.76Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-ADC HTA Choice Auto 1st RC 145/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st Prospect RookieNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adrian De Leon CPA-ADCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adrian De Leon CPA-ADCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Adrian De Leon Auto #CPA-ADL DbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph Arizona DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adrian De Leon CPA-ADCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-ADC Adrian De Leon 1st Bowman Prospects AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect - Adrian De Leon - 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-ADCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto 1st #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adrian De Leon 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Rookie Base RC AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto 1st #CPA-ADC DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —ADRIAN DE LEON 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REFRACTOR AUTO /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome # CPA-ADC Adrian De Leon 1st Bowman Auto. DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Bowman Prospect 1st Auto Arizona DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Autograph Auto Adrian De LeonNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adrian De Leon /499 SP 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto Arizona D-BacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adrian De Leon #CPA Diamondbacks NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Auto Purple Refractor 1st #84/250NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Autograph #CPA-ADC Auto Arizona (3)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Autograph #CPA-ADC Auto Arizona (2)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon Autograph #CPA-ADC Auto Arizona (1)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Adrian De Leon #CPA-ADC PSA 10 GEM MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $15.022024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 245/499 Adrian De Leon #CPA-ADC Auto 1k9tLOTTERY
- $8.992024 Bowman Chrome Adrian De Leon AUTO. #CPA-ADC 1st Bowman Chrome Diamondbacks PASS
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run