Deal Sniper

Sean McLain

SS · Tulsa Drillers · Double-A · 25.0y · #4328 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

36 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

26 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Sean McLain scores 36 out of 100 (#4328 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: above average — 30 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 70% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 41 on the 20–80 scale (31.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Contact: well below

    31.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: above average

    30 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 70% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: above average

    .167 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 66% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 41 on the 20–80 scale (31.9% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-SM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-SM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

26 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 26 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 20 are under "The whole live market".

  • Sean McLain 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman Auto Refractor 097/499 Dodgers

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1325d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $18.98

    modeled ~$11.69

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Sean McLain Auto Purple Refractor /150 (RC) Dodgers

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$4.21

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Dodgers Sean McLain 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-SM

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $3.49

    modeled ~$8.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO Sean McLain #CDA-SM Dodgers

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 242d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.94

    modeled ~$8.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 BOWMAN CHROME SEAN MCLAIN 1ST AUTO

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 372d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.68

    modeled ~$8.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Sean McLain Chrome Pick Auto 1st #CDA-SM

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 628d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.99

    modeled ~$8.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $3.49 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $10.10 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +189%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $14.44 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +43%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level

    31.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    54

    above average · better than 66% at his level

    .167 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level

    7.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level

    30 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .738 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 59th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 59, a gap of -13. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 28th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.5 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

182

AVG

.247

OBP

.324

SLG

.414

OPS

.738

better than 59%

HR

5

SB

9

BB%

7.7

K%

31.9

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .589 up to .738 OPS.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.589▲.738

Power

.081▲.167

Walks

10.9%▼7.7%

Strikeouts

21.6%▲31.9%

Last season, 439 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market26 listed · 26 eBay-verified · 20 not shown above
Listings
26

26 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$3.49
Median ask
$11.12
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$10.10

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 20 cards

  • $11.242022 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-SM Sean McLain 1st Auto Los Angeles DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.982022 Bowman Chrome Draft Sean McLain 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-SM Los Angeles DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Sean McLain 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-SM 1st Auto Los Angeles DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME MLB #CDA-SM Sean McLain Los Angeles Dodgers RC 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Sean McLain #CDA-SM Base AUTO Dodgers 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Topps Bowman Draft Chrome Sean McLain 1st Rookie Auto Dodgers Prospect RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft Sean McLain 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CDA-SM DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME MLB #CDA-SM Sean McLain Los Angeles Dodgers RC 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $14.442022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor /150 Sean McLain Auto 1bi0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.102022 Bowman Draft Sean McLain #CDA-SM 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $29.382022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Sean McLain #CDA-SM PSA 9 MINT Auto 1b8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 SEAN MCLAIN BOWMAN CHROME AUTOGRAPHED AUTO ROOKIE CARD RC #CDA-SM PSA 9 LADNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.312022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 437/499 Sean McLain #CDA-SM Auto 2a9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Sean McLain 2022 Bowman Draft #CDA-SM 1st Bowman Base Auto - Los Angeles DodgersNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Sean McLain 2022 Bowman Draft 🔥 PSA 10 Auto Orange #d /25🔥 1st Dodgers Pop 3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.772022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Sean McLain #CDA-SM Auto sq1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $7.832022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Sean McLain #CDA-SM Auto gb4NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.992022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Sean McLain #CDA-SM Auto 10noNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.252022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Sean McLain #CDA-SM Auto 2s2NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $19.622022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Sean McLain #CDA-SM Auto 09anNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now