Deal Sniper

Jared Sundstrom

CF · Double-A · 25.0y · #4582 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

34 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best Red asks $8.98, over the $3.25 that card has sold in.

What to do
Watch

Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, expensive market.

Jared Sundstrom scores 34 out of 100 (#4582 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .158 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 60% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Contact: below average

    29.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .671 last season to .635 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .158 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 60% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    CF is a position the hobby pays up for; 25.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom Auto Seattle Mariners Arkansas Travelers at $18.16, 459% over the $3.25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $3.25 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

20 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".

  • Jared Sundstrom 1st Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Mariners

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 172d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.98

    sold $3.25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • JARED SUNDSTROM 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH MARINERS AUTO

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 433d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.39

    sold $3.25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Jared Sundstrom 2025 Bowman Chrome AUTO On Card Autograph 1st RC Card CPA-JSU

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 431d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.99

    sold $3.25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 BOWMAN CHROME JARED SUNDSTROM CPA-JSU 1ST PROSPECT AUTO SEATTLE MARINERS

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 334d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.49

    sold $3.25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom 1st Auto #CPA-JSU Mariners

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 413d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.49

    sold $3.25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom 1st Auto #CPA-JSU Mariners

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 439d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.49

    sold $3.25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • RedTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $8.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $21.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $21.48 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +139%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $33.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $33.98 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +58%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    29.4% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    .158 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    9.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    52

    average · better than 58% at his level

    23 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    44

    below average · better than 28% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .635 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 47th percentile of the cohort, production at the 28th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 47 and his production sits at 28, a gap of +19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 78th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.9 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

320

AVG

.196

OBP

.281

SLG

.354

OPS

.635

better than 28%

HR

10

SB

12

BB%

9.1

K%

29.4

Is this player getting better?

Down from .671 to .635 OPS this season.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.671▼.635

Power

.155→.158

Walks

8.2%→9.1%

Strikeouts

29.7%→29.4%

Last season, 489 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
Listings
20

20 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$8.98
Median ask
$14.49
Cheapest 1st auto
$8.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$21.48

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 14 cards

  • $14.492025 Bowman Jared Sundstrom 1st Chrome Prospect On-Card Auto Mariners RCPASS
  • $15.332025 Bowman Jared Sundstrom #CPA-JSU Chrome Auto 1st Prospect MarinersPASS
  • $17.992025 Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom 1st Bowman Prospect AutoPASS
  • $18.162025 1st Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom Auto Seattle Mariners Arkansas TravelersPASS
  • $21.48Jared Sundstrom 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto /250 #CPA-JSUPASS
  • $33.982025 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 3/150 Jared Sundstrom Auto ez6PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom 1st Prospect Auto MarinersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 🔥 MarinersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom 1st Auto Speckle Refractor #d /299 CPA-JSUPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JSU Jared Sundstrom 1st Refractor Auto #/499 MarinersPASS
  • —JARED SUNDSTROM 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO MarinersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Mariners Jared Sundstrom 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-JSUPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Jared Sundstrom 1st Prospect Auto Mariners #CPA-JSUPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome - Jared Sundstrom 1st Bowman Prospects Auto #CPA-JSUPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now