Ruben Ibarra
1B · Chattanooga Lookouts · Double-A · 27.0y · #4575 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
34 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
19 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Ruben Ibarra scores 34 out of 100 (#4575 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .209 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 80% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -3.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 13% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
The signal
Old for the level
-3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than only 13% of the players there.
Speed: well below
1 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
OPS slipping
.818 last season to .768 this one.
Power slipping
.238 last season to .209 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.209 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 80% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Age for the level
-3.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 13% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Corner-only profile
1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-RI — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2021 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-RI
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto 16s2 at $15.02, 651% over the $2 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $2 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
19 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".
2021 Ruben Ibarra Prospect Auto 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Purple /250 #CDA-RI Reds
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 0d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$5.70
modeled ~$35.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Blue Refractor Auto /150 - RUBEN IBARRA
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1152d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.98
modeled ~$18.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor /150 Ruben Ibarra Auto 10z2
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$19.62
modeled ~$23.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto 1j2e
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$85.74
modeled ~$15.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome Refractor 1st Ruben Ibarra Auto /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 34d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$11.69
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor Auto RUBEN IBARRA 1st Bowman REDS CDA-RI /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 379d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$17.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.27 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.32 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +33%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.70 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -67%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +145%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.62 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
25.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level
.209 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
51
average · better than 54% at his level
10.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
1 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
55
above average · better than 68% at his level · the result, not a skill
.768 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level · context, not a skill
-3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 68th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 68, a gap of -17. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 24th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.8 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
428
AVG
.233
OBP
.326
SLG
.442
OPS
.768
better than 68%
HR
20
SB
1
BB%
10.5
K%
25.5
Is this player getting better?
Down from .818 to .768 OPS this season.
Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.818▼.768
Power
.238▼.209
Walks
11.8%▼10.5%
Strikeouts
25.8%→25.5%
Last season, 400 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
- Listings
- 19
- Lowest live
- $5.70
- Median ask
- $13.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.70
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.70
19 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 13 cards
- $17.322021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 149/499 Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto 1in9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $28.522021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 30/499 Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto 07b3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $259.992021 Bowman Draft Ruben Ibarra 1st Blue Refractor /150 ROOKIE AUTO PSA 10 REDSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.07Ruben Ibarra AUTO 2021 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st RC RookiePASS
- $12.99RUBEN IBARRA AUTO 1st 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft Autograph Reds Rookie Card RCPASS
- $13.99RUBEN IBARRA 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-RIPASS
- —RUBEN IBARRA 2021 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-RIPASS
- —2021 Bowman Chrome Draft Ruben Ibarra 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CDA-RI PASS
- $9.272021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto 10z2PASS
- $9.272021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto 5c2PASS
- $10.532021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto pe8PASS
- $15.022021 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ruben Ibarra #CDA-RI Auto 16s2PASS
- —Topps 2021 Bowman Chrome Draft Pick Autographs Ruben Ibarra RC AutoPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run