Deal Sniper

Greg Jones

LF · Triple-A · 28.0y · #5796 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

22 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Greg Jones scores 22 out of 100 (#5796 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 73 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 98% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (33.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    33.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power slipping

    .113 last season to .095 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    73 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 98% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (33.5% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Corner-only profile

    LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Greg Jones #'d /499 Auto 1st #CDA-GJ - Rays / White Sox RC

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 132d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.48

    modeled ~$11.69

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Greg Jones #CDA-GJ Auto z5m

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $7.54

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Auto Greg Jones #CDA-GJ Auto z5m

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 149d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $8.12

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Draft Greg Jones 1st True Blue Refractor Auto RC #/150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 61d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.99

    modeled ~$6.00

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Class of 2019 /250 Greg Jones #C19A-GJ Auto 0i40

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $10.10

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 322/499 Greg Jones #CDA-GJ Auto 5j0

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $11.28

    modeled ~$11.11

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.54, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -14%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +74%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $28.52, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +153%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.14, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -57%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +7%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -23%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

10 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    38

    well below · better than 11% at his level

    33.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    43

    below average · better than 24% at his level

    .095 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 63% at his level

    12.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    71

    plus-plus · better than 98% at his level

    73 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .724 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill

    -2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 49th percentile of the cohort, production at the 42th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 49 and his production sits at 42, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 58th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

230

AVG

.251

OBP

.378

SLG

.346

OPS

.724

better than 42%

HR

3

SB

28

BB%

12.2

K%

33.5

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .512 up to .724 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.512.724

Power

.113.095

Walks

7.0%12.2%

Strikeouts

42.3%33.5%

Last season, 71 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$6.48
Median ask
$13.34
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.48
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.48

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 19 cards

  • $11.562019 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Refractor /499 Greg Jones #CDA-GJ Auto 2a9PASS
  • $11.742019 Bowman Chrome Draft Greg Jones Base Auto Tampa Bay Rays Prospect 1stPASS
  • $12.142019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Greg Jones #CDA-GJ Auto z5mPASS
  • $12.992019 1st Bowman Chrome Draft GREG JONES Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 White SoxPASS
  • $13.182019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Greg Jones #CDA-GJ Auto 03j5PASS
  • $13.50Greg Jones 2019 Bowman Chrome Autograph PSA 9 CDA-GJ Rays AutoPASS
  • $14.442019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Greg Jones #CDA-GJ Auto 1n4oPASS
  • $23.642019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Greg Jones #CDA-GJ BGS 9.5 GEM MINT Auto 0nr3PASS
  • $28.522019 Bowman Draft Chrome Class of 2019 207/250 Greg Jones #C19A-GJ Auto g6pPASS
  • $30.542019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor Greg Jones BGS 9 MINT Auto ya6PASS
  • $30.832019 Bowman Draft Chrome Class of 2019 104/250 Greg Jones #C19A-GJ Auto 4k8PASS
  • $30.982019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 127/499 Greg Jones PSA 10 GEM MT AutoPASS
  • $40.892019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 396/499 Greg Jones PSA 9 MINT Auto 1p3wPASS
  • $47.782019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 88/99 Greg Jones PSA 10 Auto 02d2PASS
  • $60.442019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor Greg Jones PSA 9 MINT Auto 0re5PASS
  • $70.792019 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor /499 Greg Jones SGC 9.5 Mint+ Auto ya6PASS
  • NON AUTO 2019 Bowman Chrome 1st Greg Jones Sky Blue Refractor ROOKIE Rays ColorsPASS
  • Greg Jones - On-Card Auto 1st Bowman Chrome CDA-GJPASS
  • Topps 2019 Bowman Draft Greg Jones Chrome Auto Green Refractor /99 PSA 9 RCPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player