Deal Sniper

Zavier Warren

1B · Chattanooga Lookouts · Double-A · 27.0y · #5820 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

21 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $3, over the $2 that card has sold in.

What to do
Watch

Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, expensive market.

Zavier Warren scores 21 out of 100 (#5820 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: plus — 13.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 79% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: age for the level — -3.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 13% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than only 13% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .110 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • OPS slipping

    .685 last season to .574 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .143 last season to .110 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    13.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 79% at his level.

Why now

  • 4 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Age for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Double-A puts him younger than only 13% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Corner-only profile

    1B carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-ZW — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-ZW

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is ZAVIER WARREN 2020 Bowman Draft AUTO BREWERS CDA-ZW 1ST CHROME at $15.98, 699% over the $2 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $2 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

26 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 26 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 20 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Zavier Warren 1st Auto Rookie RC #CDA-ZW Brewers

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 12d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $3.00

    sold $2

    PASS

  • Zavier Warren 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Auto CPA-ZW Brewers Reds Bats

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 22d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $3.99

    sold $2

    PASS

  • Zavier Warren 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome #CDA-ZW 1st Prospect Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $4.10

    sold $2

    PASS

  • 2020 Bowman Draft #CDA-ZW Zavier Warren Chrome Draft Pick Auto ROOKIE RC

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Not a core card · 5 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $4.38

    sold $2

    PASS

  • 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Zavier Warren Milwaukee Brewers

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 319d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $4.98

    sold $2

    PASS

  • 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Zavier Warren 1st Bowman Auto Milwaukee Brewers #CDA-ZW

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1167d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $4.99

    sold $2

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • BlueTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +67%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • RedTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $3.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -20%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +201%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $34.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +188%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $27.66, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -20%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    47

    average · better than 38% at his level

    27.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    45

    below average · better than 31% at his level

    .110 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level

    13.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    46

    below average · better than 33% at his level

    8 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .574 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    39

    well below · better than 13% at his level · context, not a skill

    -3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 45th percentile of the cohort, production at the 19th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 89% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 45 and his production sits at 19, a gap of +26. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 89th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.8 / 10

  • already at Double-A
  • old for Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

224

AVG

.173

OBP

.291

SLG

.283

OPS

.574

better than 19%

HR

5

SB

3

BB%

13.4

K%

27.7

Is this player getting better?

Down from .685 to .574 OPS this season.

Still at Double-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.685.574

Power

.143.110

Walks

11.1%13.4%

Strikeouts

23.6%27.7%

Last season, 478 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market26 listed · 26 eBay-verified · 20 not shown above
Listings
26

26 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$3.00
Median ask
$11.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$3.00
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$11.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 20 cards

  • $5.00(2) 2020 Bowman Chrome Zavier Warren 1st Rookie Auto + 1st Edition Sky Blue FoilPASS
  • $7.262020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Zavier Warren #CDA-ZW Auto 1o9iPASS
  • $9.602020 Zavier Warren Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-ZW (J370) $6 MAX SHIPPASS
  • $11.572020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Zavier Warren #CDA-ZW Auto 1h02PASS
  • $11.982020 Bowman Chrome Draft ZAVIER WARREN 1st Rookie AUTO #CDA-ZW Brewers RC SPPASS
  • $11.992020 Bowman Chrome Draft ZAVIER WARREN 1st Rookie PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO #/250 RCPASS
  • $11.992020 Bowman Chrome Zavier Warren 1st Bowman Refractor Auto #/499 #CDA-ZW BrewersPASS
  • $12.142020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Zavier Warren #CDA-ZW Auto 5yqPASS
  • $12.382020 Bowman Chrome Draft Zavier Warren 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-ZW BrewersPASS
  • $12.722020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Zavier Warren #CDA-ZW Auto 1lq2PASS
  • $13.602020 Zavier Warren Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto RC 119/499 #CDA-ZW (J371)PASS
  • $15.98ZAVIER WARREN 2020 Bowman Draft AUTO BREWERS CDA-ZW 1ST CHROMEPASS
  • $27.662020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Sparkle Refractor 58/71 Zavier Warren Auto 0rd2PASS
  • $30.542020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Zavier Warren #CDA-ZW PSA 9 MINT Auto w7pPASS
  • $34.562020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Blue Wave Refractor /150 Zavier Warren Auto 09sdPASS
  • Zavier Warren 2020 Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Auto Milwaukee Brewers #CDA-ZW PASS
  • 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Zavier Warren 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-ZW BrewersPASS
  • 2020 Bowman Draft Zavier Warren Chrome Auto SGC 10/10 #CDA-ZW Milwaukee BrewersPASS
  • 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Zavier Warren 1st Purple Ref Auto #'d /250 PSA 9 BrewerPASS
  • ZAVIER WARREN PSA 9 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft RC Gold Refractor /99 Auto BrewersPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player