Jett Williams
SS · Nashville Sounds · Triple-A · 22.0y · #323 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
69 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
17 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is JETT WILLIAMS 2022 1st BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT… at $101. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Jett Williams scores 69 out of 100 (#323 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 98% of the players there.
OPS slipping
.867 last season to .724 this one.
Power slipping
.196 last season to .151 this one.
Speed: plus
35 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 87% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
17 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".
Topps 2022 Bowman Draft Jett Williams Mets Chrome Auto BGS 9.5 Refractor /499 RC
/499 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$74.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
JETT WILLIAMS 2022 1st BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT PICK AUTO RC #CDAJWS PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 6d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$101.00
modeled ~$99.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jett Williams #CDA-JWS PSA 9 MINT Auto 11qd
base · PSA 9 · listed 6d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$154.68
modeled ~$99.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 Bowman Chrome Jett Williams 1st Auto Aqua /199
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 402d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$280.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 Bowman Chrome Jett Williams 1st Auto Purple /250
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 918d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$280.00
modeled ~$22.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2022 Bowman Draft 1st Jett Williams Refractor Auto /499 #CDAJWS BGS 10 PRISTINE
/499 · BGS 10 · takes offers · listed 220d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
$301.00
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jett Williams, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsHTA Choice Refractor · /150$74.96Watch
- Rainiel Rodriguezbase$69.99Watch44% under fair value
Compared within $37.49–$78.73, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in psa 10 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing PSA 10 autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Blue Wave RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $344.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $344.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1082.19, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1082.19 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +214%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2004.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2004.49 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +85%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
51
average · better than 55% at his level
22.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
51
average · better than 52% at his level
.151 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level
13.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level
35 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
48
average · better than 42% at his level · the result, not a skill
.724 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 66th percentile of the cohort, production at the 42th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 85% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 66 and his production sits at 42, a gap of +24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 85th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- young for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
359
AVG
.233
OBP
.340
SLG
.384
OPS
.724
better than 42%
HR
9
SB
21
BB%
13.1
K%
22.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .867 to .724 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.867▼.724
Power
.196▼.151
Walks
14.7%▼13.1%
Strikeouts
22.8%→22.0%
Last season, 421 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market17 listed · 17 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
- Listings
- 17
- Lowest seen
- $74.98
- Median ask
- $290.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $101.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $280.00
17 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 11 cards
- $344.982022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor Jett Williams PSA 10 Auto 1px0NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $455.992022 Bowman Draft Jett Williams 60/71 Sparkle Refractor 1st Auto PSA 9 #CDA-JWSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $1082.192022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Refractor /150 Jett Williams PSA 10 Auto yj0NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $2004.49PSA 10 - 2022 Bowman Draft JETT WILLIAMS 1st RC Sparkle Refractor AUTO 10/71 MetNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jett Williams 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st ORANGE Rookie Auto /25 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Jett Williams Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto CDA-JWS Brewers MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Jett Williams BDC-190 MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jett Williams 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Black & White Raywave Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 JETT WILLIAMS 1st Bowman Draft AUTO Aqua Lava Chrome Ref /199 PSA 10 💎NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Aqua Lava Jett Williams Auto /199 PSA 9 WHC178NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome Jett Williams Signed Blue Refractor /150 BDC-190 PSA AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run