Dylan Dreiling
CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #208 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
73 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
22 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Draft - 1st Bowman Chrome Dylan…. Evidence still thin.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Dylan Dreiling scores 73 out of 100 (#208 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Power: plus
.219 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 84% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
21.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 69% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-DD — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-DD
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 41/499 Dylan Dreiling Auto 0ca0 at $59.28, 85% over the $32 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/499 at or under $32 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Evidence still thin
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
22 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 22 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 16 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Bowman Draft - 1st Bowman Chrome Dylan Dreiling Auto #CPA-DD Rangers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 51h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $23.08–48.50
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Dylan Dreiling #CPA-DD Rangers
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
modeled $23.08–48.50
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Dylan Dreiling #CPA-DD Rangers
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $23.08–48.50
PASS
DYLAN DREILING - 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-DD
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $23.08–48.50
PASS
Dylan Dreiling 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 CPA-DD
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $34.62–72.75
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Dylan Dreiling 1st Auto #/199 Texas Rangers
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$85.90
modeled $31.15–65.48
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Dylan Dreiling, just what the money can do today.
- Christian MooreRefractor · /499$45.94Watch
- Charles McAdoo/150$45.16Watch47% under fair value
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $22.45–$47.16, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $44.91, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $44.91 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $67.63, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $67.63 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +51%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $59.28, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $59.28 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -12%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $67.92, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $67.92 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $85.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $85.90 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +27%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
55
above average · better than 69% at his level
21.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level
.219 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
52
average · better than 58% at his level
11.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
49
average · better than 46% at his level
16 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · the result, not a skill
.916 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 90th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 88% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 90, a gap of -26. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 12th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.8 / 10
- already at Double-A
- hitting well — 0.916 OPS in 464 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
464
AVG
.313
OBP
.384
SLG
.532
OPS
.916
better than 90%
HR
21
SB
12
BB%
11.0
K%
21.6
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .700 to .916 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.700▲.916
Power
.155▲.219
Walks
12.0%▼11.0%
Strikeouts
20.9%→21.6%
Last season, 483 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $179.99 plus $5.89 shipping · /50 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market22 listed · 22 eBay-verified · 16 not shown above
- Listings
- 22
- Lowest seen
- $44.91
- Median ask
- $63.46
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $85.90
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $85.90
22 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 16 cards
- —2024 Bowman Draft Dylan Dreiling 1st Auto Gold Wave /50 🔥HOT PROSPECT❗️#CPA-DDPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Dylan Dreiling 1st Bowman True Green Auto /99 #CPA-DDPASS
- —DYLAN DREILING 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-DD AQUA LAVA /199 1ST AUTOPASS
- —DYLAN DREILING - 2024 Bowman Draft - Chrome Aqua Lava Auto /199 #CPA-DD RangersPASS
- $59.282024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 41/499 Dylan Dreiling Auto 0ca0PASS
- $44.912024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Dylan Dreiling #CPA-DD Auto 3a8PASS
- $46.072024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Dylan Dreiling #CPA-DD Auto 1t50PASS
- $67.632024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Dylan Dreiling Auto 01mgPASS
- $67.922024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Dylan Dreiling Auto 0vm6NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Sapphire Gold Dylan Dreiling Auto 26/50 RC SP PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Sapphire Gold Dylan Dreiling Auto 45/50 RC PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Sapphire Dylan Dreiling Auto 177/199 RC SP PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Sapphire Green Dylan Dreiling Auto 79/99 RC PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft Dylan Dreiling Yellow Refractor 1st Auto /75 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —DYLAN DREILING 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-DD CHROME AUTO 1ST RANGERS PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Draft Dylan Dreiling 1st Bowman Auto PSA 10 Gem CPA-DDNEEDS EVIDENCE
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run