Mike Sirota
CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #222 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
73 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $300, over the $261 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2024 Mike Sirota Bowman Draft Chrome 1st… at $84.98. Needs a $25 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Mike Sirota scores 73 out of 100 (#222 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $68–83 off 2 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Speed: below average
10 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
OPS slipping
1.014 last season to .977 this one.
Power slipping
.240 last season to .211 this one.
Plate discipline: plus-plus
20.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 96% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Why now
3 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-MS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$67.50–82.50midpoint $75.00
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 5 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-MS
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Draft Mike Sirota 1st Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 10 at $375, 44% over the $261 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $261 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $25 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2024 Mike Sirota Bowman Draft Chrome 1st… at or under $60 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
2024 Mike Sirota Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-MS - Los Angeles Dodgers
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $75
PASS · 13% under
Mike Sirota 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Autograph Auto PSA 10 #CPAMS Dodgers
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$300.00
sold $261
PASS
Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Chrome Sapphire 1st Orange Refractor Auto /25 LA Dodgers
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $122–347
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Mike Sirota 1st Chrome Popcorn Refractor Auto /5 Snack Pack
/5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$1999.99
modeled $122–347
PASS
Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft Sapphire Gold Auto #32/50 1st Bowman Dodgers CPAMS
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$907.00
modeled $97.20–277
PASS
2024 Bowman Draft Mike Sirota 1st Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 10
base · PSA 10 · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$374.99
sold $261
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Mike Sirota, just what the money can do today.
- Walker Jenkinsbase$67.98Watch
- Luke AdamsHTA Choice Refractor · /150$74.96Watch
- Rainiel Rodriguezbase$69.99Watch44% under fair value
Compared within $42.49–$89.23, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder9 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $84.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $84.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $85.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $85.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $184.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $184.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +116%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $207.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $207.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +12%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $250.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $250.00 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +21%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $362.90 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +45%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.17 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -16%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $907.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $907.00 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +198%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1999.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1999.99 live
- Scarcity
- 5 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +121%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 57 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
55
above average · better than 69% at his level
21.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
59
plus · better than 82% at his level
.211 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
68
plus-plus · better than 96% at his level
20.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
10 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
66
plus-plus · better than 94% at his level · the result, not a skill
.977 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 71th percentile of the cohort, production at the 94th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 84% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 71 and his production sits at 94, a gap of -23. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 16th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.6 / 10
- already at Double-A
- hitting well — 0.977 OPS in 300 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
300
AVG
.306
OBP
.460
SLG
.517
OPS
.977
better than 94%
HR
10
SB
5
BB%
20.0
K%
21.7
Is this player getting better?
Down from 1.014 to .977 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
1.014▼.977
Power
.240▼.211
Walks
21.3%▼20.0%
Strikeouts
21.9%→21.7%
Last season, 155 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $199.99 plus $5.17 shipping · /199 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest seen
- $84.98
- Median ask
- $300.00
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $84.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $184.99
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 28 cards
- —MIKE SIROTA 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME PROSPECT AUTO 1st #CPAMS PSA 10PASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Mike Sirota #/71 Sparkle Refractor Auto DodgersPASS
- $304.17MIKE SIROTA 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO HTA CHOICE REFRACTOR #/150 DodgersPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Mike Sirota Chrome Auto Blue Wave Refractor 1st #/150 RedsPASS
- $250.002024 Bowman Draft Mike Sirota Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor 1st #/199 RedsPASS
- $305.88Mike Sirota AUTO AQUA LAVA #/199 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect RefractorPASS
- $362.902024 1st Bowman Draft Sapphire Mike Sirota /199 RC Auto Top Prospect DodgersPASS
- $84.982024 Mike Sirota Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-MS - Los Angeles DodgersPASS
- $84.992024 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Autograph Auto Mike Sirota #CPA-MS | DodgersPASS
- —Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto | #CPA-MS Dodgers!PASS
- $85.492024 Bowman Draft Mike Sirota #CPA-MS Chrome Auto 1st Prospect RedsPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-MS Mike Sirota 1st Chrome Purple Auto /250 LA DodgersPASS
- —Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman 1st Draft Chrome Purple Refractor /250 Auto Reds CPA-MAPASS
- $184.992024 Bowman Draft Chrome Mike Sirota 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-MS RC ROOKIEPASS
- —Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-MS 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 266/499PASS
- —Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft #CPA-MS 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto 266/499PASS
- $207.00Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft Aqua Lava Auto #175/199 1st Bowman Dodgers CPA-MSPASS
- —Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft Prospect Auto /499 Refractor Reds 1stPASS
- $1782.00Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft Gold Wave Auto PSA 10 GEM MINT #32/50 1st BowmanPASS
- —2024 Bowman Draft Mike Sirota 1st Auto Yellow #74/75 #16 Overall MLB Prospect!PASS
- —2024 Bowman Mike Sirota Auto /199 Aqua Lava Refractor 1stPASS
- $299.99MIKE SIROTA PSA 9 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME 1ST AUTO HTA CHOICE REFRACTOR 16/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —MIKE SIROTA 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-MS AQUA LAVA REFRACTOR /199 1ST AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —MIKE SIROTA PSA 9 2024 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME 1ST AUTO HTA CHOICE REFRACTOR 111/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $96.00Mike Sirota 2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto 1st Bowman Dodgers #CPA-MSPASS
- $266.42Topps Mike Sirota 1st Bowman Auto DodgersPASS
- $345.59Topps Mike Sirota 1st Bowman Auto Dodgers 733684PASS
- —#2 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Mike Sirota RC Rookie AUTO RedsPASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run