Justin Dunn
SP · Salt Lake Bees · Triple-A · 30.0y · #7041 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
5 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
34 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, untested market.
Justin Dunn scores 5 out of 100 (#7041 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: what the hobby pays up for — SP sells at a discount at equal production; 30.0 is old for a prospect card.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Old for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 6% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production; 30.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Age for the level
-4.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 6% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2016 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2016 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
2016 Bowman Draft #CDA-JD Justin Dunn 1st Chrome Blue Auto #/150 BGS 9.5
/150 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 401d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$19.45
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick 1st Bowman Green Refractor Auto /99 Justin Dunn
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 81d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.95
modeled ~$12.13
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Justin Dunn 2016 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph BGS 9.5/10 #2
base · BGS 9.5 · listed 777d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$20.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Justin Dunn 2016 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph BGS 9.5/10 #2
base · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 306d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$20.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
BGS 9.5 2016 1ST BOWMAN JUSTIN DUNN CHROME DRAFT PROSPECT AUTO G5691
base · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 982d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$15.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Justin Dunn | 2016 Bowman Chrome | Refractor Auto /499 | 1st Rookie Autograph
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1510d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.95
modeled ~$11.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.95 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +139%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $16.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $16.17 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +172%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $3.14, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.14 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -81%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.95 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +90%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $27.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $27.95 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +370%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
10 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
34
bottom of the scale · better than 6% at his level · context, not a skill
-4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.3 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest live
- $2.49
- Median ask
- $7.54
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $2.49
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.95
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 28 cards
- $29.952016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor Auto /499 Justin Dunn #CDA-JD PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Justin Dunn 2016 Bowman Chrome Fantasy Impacts /50 Auto BGS 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $34.00Justin Dunn 2020 Bowman Chrome Rookie RC Auto Green Refractor /99 Mint PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $2.492016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick 1st Bowman Auto Justin Dunn #CDA-JD MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $2.50Justin Dunn 2016 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks 1st Auto #CDA-JD MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $3.142016 Bowman Chrome Draft Dividend Autograph JUSTIN DUNN Auto /99 Mets/MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $3.552016 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st #CDA-JD Justin Dunn Mets AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.502016 Justin Dunn 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Pick Auto #CDA-JD New York MetsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $10.88JUSTIN DUNN 2016 Bowman Draft #CDA-JD 1st Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $12.132016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 21/99 Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto m4hNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $27.952016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Black Refractor 72/75 Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto ht2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.312016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Green Refractor 77/99 Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto w5pNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2016 Bowman Draft Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Mets 1st Bowman Chrome Auto RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2016 Bowman Chrome 1st Justin Dunn AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2016 Bowman Chrome 1st Justin Dunn Mets AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $24.452016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD BGS 9.5 GEM MINT Auto 0a2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bowman 2018 Chrome Draft Justin Dunn Mets RC Auto Orange Refractor /25 BGS 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $16.172016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Purple Refractor /250 Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 8k4NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $14.832016 Bowman Chrome Draft Baseball -Auto Justin Dunn PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.542016 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 219/499 Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 8k4NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.962016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto z7dNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.972016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 6o3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.112016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 4d3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.132016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 0a3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.542016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 8k4NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.542016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 8k4NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.822016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 7i2NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $7.822016 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Justin Dunn #CDA-JD Auto 7i2NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing3 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run