Deal Sniper

David McCabe

3B · Triple-A · 26.0y · #1001 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

58 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

16 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

David McCabe scores 58 out of 100 (#1001 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus-plus — .500 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 99% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 9 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Plate discipline: well below

    0.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Power: plus-plus

    .500 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 99% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Big power for his level (99th percentile); 3B is a position the hobby pays up for.

  • OPS improving

    .813 last season to 1.208 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    9 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (33.3% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-DM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-DM

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $8.10 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

16 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Draft David McCabe #CDA-DM 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Atlanta Braves

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $8.10

    modeled ~$9.48

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft DAVID McCABE auto RC 1st Atlanta Braves

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 65d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.48

    modeled ~$9.00

    LOTTERY

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Draft David McCabe Auto Blue Refractor /150 PSA 9 Braves

    /150 · PSA 9 · listed 536d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $35.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Edition Chrome Blue Refractor /150 David McCabe Auto 0xh3

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $74.82

    modeled ~$15.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome David McCabe 1st Auto Black/White Raywave Refractor Braves

    Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$9.49

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • David McCabe 2022 Bowman Chrome #CDA-DM - Auto - 1st Bowman Braves

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled ~$9.48

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $8.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $8.10 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $17.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $17.32 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +114%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.02, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.02 live
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -13%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $74.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $74.82 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +398%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    38

    well below · better than 12% at his level

    33.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level

    .500 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    35

    well below · better than 7% at his level

    0.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    71

    plus-plus · better than 98% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.208 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 37th percentile of the cohort, production at the 98th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 100% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 37 and his production sits at 98, a gap of -61. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 0th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.9 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

9

AVG

.375

OBP

.333

SLG

.875

OPS

1.208

better than 98%

HR

1

SB

0

BB%

0.0

K%

33.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .813 to 1.208 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.813▲1.208

Power

.148▲.500

Walks

13.3%▼0.0%

Strikeouts

20.5%▲33.3%

Last season, 435 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market16 listed · 16 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
Listings
16

16 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$8.10
Median ask
$23.01
Cheapest 1st auto
$8.10
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$74.82

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 10 cards

  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Draft DAVID McCABE auto RC 1st Atlanta BravesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.802022 Bowman Draft Chrome David Mccabe Prospect Refractor Auto /499 #CDADM PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $15.022022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Aqua Lava Refractor 198/199 David McCabe Auto 17lbLOTTERY
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Mega Box David McCabe #DM AUTO PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.322022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 392/499 David McCabe #CDA-DM Auto 03j5LOTTERY
  • —2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto David McCabe #CDA-DM Graded PSA 9 - AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $15.772022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick David McCabe #CDA-DM Auto 19n6LOTTERY
  • $23.012022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick David McCabe #CDA-DM Auto xb2LOTTERY
  • $23.072022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick David McCabe #CDA-DM Auto 0w27LOTTERY
  • $34.492022 Bowman Chrome Draft Autographs David McCabe Atlanta Braves SGC Auto 10/Mi 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now