Junior Perez
CF · Triple-A · 25.0y · #1638 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
53 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
34 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Junior Perez scores 53 out of 100 (#1638 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (35.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Contact: well below
35.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Speed: plus
30 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 81% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Power: above average
.183 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 67% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 37 on the 20–80 scale (35.7% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 12 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 14 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 12 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $7.24 costs 0.74× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
Junior Perez - 2022 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 1st Bowman
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 71d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.24
modeled ~$11.99
LOTTERY
2022 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Junior Perez #CPA-JP! White Sox! Rookie Autograph
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$9.80
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome JUNIOR PEREZ auto - RC - 1st - Chicago White Sox
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 55d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.98
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2022 Junior Perez 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto White Sox #CPA-JP (AU, RC)
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 65d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.99
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2022 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Junior Perez #CPA-JP! White Sox! Rookie Autograph
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 71d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.92
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
2022 Junior Perez 1st Bowman Chrome rookie Auto White Sox #CPA-JP athletics qty
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 60d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.49
modeled ~$9.50
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.80, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.80 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.24 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.00 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +287%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.60 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -30%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $39.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $39.99 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +104%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $37.10, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $37.10 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $47.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $47.60 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +28%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
35.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
.183 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
10.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
59
plus · better than 81% at his level
30 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
47
average · better than 38% at his level · the result, not a skill
.707 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 38th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 38, a gap of +13. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 68th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.1 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
305
AVG
.221
OBP
.303
SLG
.404
OPS
.707
better than 38%
HR
9
SB
15
BB%
10.5
K%
35.7
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .716 to .707 OPS.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.716→.707
Power
.197→.183
Walks
14.1%▼10.5%
Strikeouts
28.6%▲35.7%
Last season, 405 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest seen
- $7.24
- Median ask
- $19.60
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $7.24
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $7.24
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.
The other 28 cards
- $14.002022 1st Bowman Chrome REFRACTOR RC AUTO Junior Perez! Rookie! Autograph /499LOTTERY
- $14.982022 Bowman Chrome JUNIOR PEREZ 1st Rookie AUTO #CPA-JP White Sox RC SP QUANTITYLOTTERY
- $15.602022 1st Bowman Chrome REFRACTOR RC AUTO Junior Perez! Rookie! Autograph /499LOTTERY
- $15.982022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto JUNIOR PEREZ #CPA-JP Autograph RC ProspectLOTTERY
- $19.00Junior Perez 1st Bowman Chrome Auto A’s ProspectLOTTERY
- $19.142022 Bowman Chrome Junior Perez 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $19.602022 1st Bowman Chrome PURPLE Refractor RC AUTO Junior Perez! Autograph /250LOTTERY
- $28.002022 1st Bowman Chrome SPECKLE Refractor RC AUTO Junior Perez! Autograph /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $31.202022 1st Bowman Chrome SPECKLE Refractor RC AUTO Junior Perez! Autograph /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $37.102022 1st Bowman Chrome BLUE Raywave RC AUTO Junior Perez! Rookie! Autograph /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $39.992022 Bowman Chrome 1st Junior Perez /100 Atomic Auto White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $41.342022 1st Bowman Chrome BLUE Raywave RC AUTO Junior Perez! Rookie! Autograph /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $47.602022 1st Bowman Chrome GREEN Refractor RC AUTO Junior Perez Rookie Autograph /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $55.002022 Bowman Chrome Junior Perez Prospect AUTO 1ST Blue Raywave /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $63.002022 1st Bowman Chrome MINI-DIAMOND RC AUTO Junior Perez! Rookie! SSP! AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $63.002022 1st Bowman Chrome YELLOW RC AUTO Junior Perez PSA 9! Rookie! Autograph /75NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $129.502022 1st Bowman Chrome ORANGE Shimmer RC AUTO Junior Perez SGC 9.5 Autograph /25NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $144.302022 1st Bowman Chrome ORANGE Shimmer RC AUTO Junior Perez SGC 9.5 Autograph /25NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $190.99🔥Junior Perez 2022 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto White Sox #CPA-JP PSA 10 HOT🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome Junior Perez Rookie Auto Atomic Refractor /100 A’sNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto Junior Perez /250 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Junior Perez 1st Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto White Sox #CPA-JP (AU, RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome RC AUTO Junior Perez #CPA-JP! White Sox! Rookie AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Junior Perez Autograph/Signed 2022 1st Bowman Chrome BCP-180 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Junior Perez 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect SP Oakland A”s Auto Autograph 🔥⚾️NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JUNIOR PEREZ 2022 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-JP AUTO 1ST PROSPECT ATHLETICSNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bowman Chrome Junior Perez RC Auto Refractor /499 PSA 9 #CPA-JPNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 1st Bowman Chrome GOLD Shimmer RC AUTO Junior Perez! Rookie Autograph /50NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run