Deal Sniper

Ryan Ritter

SS · Albuquerque Isotopes · Triple-A · 25.0y · #1622 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

53 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

16 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

All in it's $14.18, and these have been selling around $4.59.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Ryan Ritter scores 53 out of 100 (#1622 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • OPS slipping

    1.015 last season to .883 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .307 last season to .134 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: above average

    21 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 69% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 4 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Ritter #CDA-RR Auto 1j91 at $26.52, 565% over the $3.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $3.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

16 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".

  • Ryan Ritter 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st CDA-RR Auto Refractor /499 Rockies

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $14.18

    modeled $4.59

    LOTTERY

  • Ryan Ritter 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 Rockies #CDA-RR

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 216d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $4.59

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RR Rockies - RYAN RITTER

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $6.48

    sold $3.99

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 Bowman Draft | Ryan Ritter Chrome 1st Bowman On-Card Auto 🔥

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 204d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.98

    sold $3.99

    LOTTERY

  • RYAN RITTER 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-RR

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 291d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $13.99

    sold $3.99

    LOTTERY

  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Ritter Auto #CDA-RR 1st Bowman Rockies

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $3.99

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +119%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level

    20.5% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    .134 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    52

    average · better than 57% at his level

    11.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    55

    above average · better than 69% at his level

    21 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    58

    plus · better than 79% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .883 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 79th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 82% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 79, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 18th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.5 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.883 OPS in 234 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

234

AVG

.325

OBP

.424

SLG

.459

OPS

.883

better than 79%

HR

4

SB

8

BB%

11.5

K%

20.5

Is this player getting better?

Down from 1.015 to .883 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

1.015.883

Power

.307.134

Walks

13.1%11.5%

Strikeouts

20.8%20.5%

Last season, 260 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$17.00 · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market16 listed · 16 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
Listings
16

16 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$6.48
Median ask
$15.59
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.48
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$14.18

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 10 cards

  • Ryan Ritter Autograph Signed 2022 1st Bowman Chrome BDC-136 Auto RockiesPASS
  • 2022 Bowman Draft Chrome Ryan Ritter 1st Auto #CDA-RRPASS
  • Ryan Ritter - 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto - #CDA-RR Colorado RockiesPASS
  • $57.282022 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 178/499 Ryan Ritter #CDA-RR Auto 0s4fPASS
  • $6.90Topps 2022 Bowman Draft Ryan Ritter Rockies Chrome Draft Pick Auto CDA-RRLOTTERY
  • $15.592022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Ritter #CDA-RR Auto 1u6LOTTERY
  • $16.172022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Ritter #CDA-RR Auto xb2LOTTERY
  • $17.322022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Ritter #CDA-RR Auto 10c7LOTTERY
  • $24.222022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Ritter #CDA-RR Auto 1n8aLOTTERY
  • $26.522022 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Ryan Ritter #CDA-RR Auto 1j91PASS

Worth reading for this player