Easton Carmichael
C · Double-A · 22.0y · #1825 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
14 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome EASTON CARMICHAEL…. Priced above value.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Easton Carmichael scores 51 out of 100 (#1825 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $22–32 off 2 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 79 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
Plate discipline: well below
3.8% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Contact: plus
17.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 85% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
C sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
79 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-ECA — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$22.05–32.44midpoint $24.50
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-21 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-ECA
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Easton Carmichael #CPA-ECA Auto 1qg0 at $120, 388% over the $24.50–29.49 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $24.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
14 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 14 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 8 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Draft Easton Carmichael Chrome Auto Pop Corn Refractor 1st #/5
/5 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$1005.16
modeled $39.69–136
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft Easton Carmichael Chrome Auto Gold Refractor /50 1st
/50 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$302.56
modeled $31.75–109
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft - Easton Carmichael (RC) Auto 1st /50 #CPA PSA 10
/50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 23d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled ~$518.76
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Easton Carmichael CPA-ECA Yellow /75 Pirates
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$220.99
modeled $26.46–90.83
PASS
2025 Easton Carmichael Bowman Chrome 1st Green Wave Auto /99
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $23.81–81.75
PASS
2025 Bowman Draft Easton Carmichael Chrome 1st Auto Aqua Lava Refractor #/199
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$84.94
modeled $17.86–61.31
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Easton Carmichael, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $20.87–$43.83, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $41.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $41.74 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $84.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $84.94 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +104%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $220.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $220.99 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +160%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $302.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $302.56 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +37%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $1005.16, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $1005.16 live
- Scarcity
- 5 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +232%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 47 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 47 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 85% at his level
17.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
51
average · better than 53% at his level
.148 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
36
well below · better than 8% at his level
3.8% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
45
below average · better than 31% at his level · the result, not a skill
.644 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 41th percentile of the cohort, production at the 31th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 41 and his production sits at 31, a gap of +10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 66th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.9 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
79
AVG
.230
OBP
.266
SLG
.378
OPS
.644
better than 31%
HR
3
SB
0
BB%
3.8
K%
17.7
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .365 to .644 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.365▲.644
Power
.060▲.148
Walks
3.7%→3.8%
Strikeouts
20.4%▼17.7%
Last season, 54 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market14 listed · 14 eBay-verified · 8 not shown above
- Listings
- 14
- Lowest seen
- $41.74
- Median ask
- $170.33
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $41.74
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $84.94
14 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 8 cards
- —2025 Easton Carmichael Bowman Chrome 1st Aqua Wave Auto /199PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Easton Carmichael 1st Chrome Auto Refractor /499 - PiratesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft | Easton Carmichael | 1st Bowman HTA Choice Auto /150 PiratesPASS
- $41.74Easton Carmichael 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-ECA PiratesPASS
- $119.672025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Easton Carmichael #CPA-ECA Auto 1qg0PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome EASTON CARMICHAEL Auto 1st Autograph Pirates On-Card SPPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Easton Carmichael 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-ECA Pittsburgh PiratesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Draft EASTON CARMICHAEL 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-ECA PiratesPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run