Adonys Guzman
C · Greenville Drive · High-A · 22.0y · #1874 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
42 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Adonys Guzman Auto… at $22.48. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Adonys Guzman scores 51 out of 100 (#1874 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 90 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.
Speed: below average
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
OPS slipping
1.400 last season to .734 this one.
Power slipping
.600 last season to .148 this one.
Plate discipline: above average
14.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 73% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A, though the prior season is a thin sample.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
90 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AG — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 5 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-AG
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is ADONYS GUZMAN 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AQUA LAVA AUTO /199 Pirates at $10.98, 375% over the $2.31 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
/199 at or under $2.31 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
42 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 42 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 36 are under "The whole live market".
Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto MOJO HTA /150 Pirates
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 48d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$18.99
modeled ~$4.99
LOTTERY
2025 1st Bowman Chrome Adonys Guzman Auto True Green/99 CPA-AG (RC) Pirates
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$22.48
modeled ~$29.00
LOTTERY
Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Draft Green Refractor Chrome 1st RC Auto /99 PSA 9
/99 · PSA 9 · listed 21d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$36.49
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
ADONYS GUZMAN AUTO #/199 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AQUA LAVA REFRACTOR CPA-AG
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$64.94
modeled ~$14.76
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Green Refractor Auto /99 #CPA-AG
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$19.85
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/499 Pirates
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 59d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.99
modeled ~$12.00
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $6.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $6.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RedTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.94 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +76%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.98 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -22%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $64.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $64.94 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +491%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -71%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $22.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $22.48 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
51
average · better than 55% at his level
24.4% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
52
average · better than 59% at his level
.148 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
56
above average · better than 73% at his level
14.4% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
52
average · better than 56% at his level · the result, not a skill
.734 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 56th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 56, a gap of -3. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 43th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.4 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
90
AVG
.230
OBP
.356
SLG
.378
OPS
.734
better than 56%
HR
3
SB
0
BB%
14.4
K%
24.4
Is this player getting better?
Down from 1.400 to .734 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
1.400▼.734
Power
.600▼.148
Walks
0.0%▲14.4%
Strikeouts
0.0%▲24.4%
Last season, 5 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market42 listed · 42 eBay-verified · 36 not shown above
- Listings
- 42
- Lowest seen
- $6.98
- Median ask
- $12.22
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $6.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $10.98
42 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 36 cards
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Auto Refractor 1st #/499 PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $6.982025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adonys Guzman CPA-AG Pirates RC Autograph MintLOTTERY
- $10.902025 Bowman Draft #CPA-AG Adonys Guzman 1st Prospect Chrome Auto Pirates MintLOTTERY
- $7.782025 1st Bowman Chrome Adonys Guzman Auto #CPA-AGLOTTERY
- $7.94🎲 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Adonys Guzman ON CARD Auto!- Boston Red Sox🎱LOTTERY
- $8.992025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Auto 1st Prospect ~ #CPA-AG PiratesLOTTERY
- $9.242025 Bowman Draft ADONYS GUZMAN 1st Chrome On-Card Auto #CPA-AG Pirates ProspectLOTTERY
- $10.99Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft #CPA-AG Auto 1st RCLOTTERY
- $11.50Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-AG, PiratesLOTTERY
- $12.222025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Prospect - Adonys Guzman Auto Pittsburgh PiratesLOTTERY
- $15.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Adonys Guzman PiratesLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Adonys Guzman 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft - Chrome Adonys Guzman 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-AG (1BA)NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —ADONYS GUZMAN 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman BASE AUTO PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Adonys Guzman CPA-AG PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —ADONYS GUZMAN 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST ROOKIE AUTO #CPA-AG PIRATES Q4871NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman 1ST Chrome Auto #CPA-AG BFEINEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AG PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AG PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-AG Adonys Guzman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto ~ #CPA-AG PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-AG Base Pirates 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Bowman 2025 Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-AG PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-AG PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto ~ #CPA-AG PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-AG Pirates Chrome Prospect 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Adonys Guzman 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-AG Pirates Chrome Prospect 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-AG Adonys Guzman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto PiratesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT ADONYS GUZMAN AUTO AUTOGRAPH 1ST BOWMAN #CPA-AGNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Adonys Guzman Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor 220/499 Psa 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $19.612025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Adonys Guzman #CPA-AG Auto 6q5LOTTERY
- $8.982025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Autographs Adonys Guzman Auto PittsburghLOTTERY
- $27.662025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Adonys Guzman #CPA-AG Auto 6q5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $28.822025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Adonys Guzman #CPA-AG Auto 07i7NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.322025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Adonys Guzman #CPA-AG Auto 0n5kNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $10.98ADONYS GUZMAN 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AQUA LAVA AUTO /199 PiratesLOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run