Deal Sniper

Dominic Pitelli

SS · Triple-A · 24.0y · #3035 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

44 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

28 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DPI Dominic Pitelli…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Dominic Pitelli scores 44 out of 100 (#3035 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (33.3% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    33.3% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Little power for his level (18th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

  • OPS improving

    .531 last season to .585 this one.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (33.3% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 8 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

28 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DPI Dominic Pitelli Prospect Autographs 1st auto Reds

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 13d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$8.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome - Dominic Pitelli - Auto 1st #CPA-DPI

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 27d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.24

    modeled ~$8.47

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • DOMINIC PITELLI 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-DPI

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 513d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.24

    modeled ~$8.47

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Dominic Pitelli 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Prospect Autographs Card Reds

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 192d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.99

    modeled ~$8.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome - Dominic Pitelli RC Auto #CPA-DPI - Cincinnati Reds

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 289d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.78

    modeled ~$8.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2024 Bowman Chrome DOMINIC PITELLI PROSPECT AUTO 1ST #CPA-DPI

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 707d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.28

    modeled ~$8.05

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $5.24 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • RedTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $4.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -5%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.71, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $10.71 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +115%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $25.08, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $25.08 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +134%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $13.20 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -47%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 43 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 43 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    38

    well below · better than 12% at his level

    33.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level

    .076 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    8.5% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    49

    average · better than 48% at his level

    11 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .585 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 27th percentile of the cohort, production at the 18th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 27 and his production sits at 18, a gap of +9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 61th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.9 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

165

AVG

.219

OBP

.290

SLG

.295

OPS

.585

better than 18%

HR

0

SB

3

BB%

8.5

K%

33.3

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .531 to .585 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.531▲.585

Power

.062→.076

Walks

11.1%▼8.5%

Strikeouts

33.0%→33.3%

Last season, 352 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market28 listed · 28 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
Listings
28

28 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.99
Median ask
$11.72
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$11.30

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 21 cards

  • $11.30Dominic Pitelli 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.142024 Bowman Draft Chrome Dominic Pitelli 1st Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.732024 Bowman Chrome Dominic Pitelli 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.202024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DPI Dominic Pitelli 1st Blue Refractor Auto #/150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.992024 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO DOMINIC PITELLI 1ST BOWMAN PARALLEL-REDSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.99DOMINIC PITELLI 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-DPINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $16.752024 Bowman Chrome DOMINIC PITELLI 1st Chrome Auto Cincinnati RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $41.59Dominic Pitelli 2024 Bowman Chrome CPA-DP Prospect Auto 1st RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DPI Dominic Pitelli 1st Prospect Chrome Auto BJCHRNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Dominic Pitelli AUTO RC CPA-DPI RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Dominic Pitelli Auto Mini Diamond Refractor 1st #/100 RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Dominic Pitelli #CPA-DPI **On Card* Cincinatti RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Dominic Pitelli 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-DPI RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Dominic Pitelli 1st Chrome AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DPI Dominic Pitelli 1st Bowman Prospect Auto RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Dominic Pitelli #CPA-DPI 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Dominic Pitelli 1st Speckled Refractor Auto 228/299 RedsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2024 Bowman Chrome Dominic Pitelli 1st Auto Cincinnati Reds Autograph NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —DOMINIC PITELLI 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Orange Shimmer Auto /25 #CPA-DPINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $25.082024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Dominic Pitelli Auto 1q4vNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $10.712024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 351/499 Dominic Pitelli #CPA-DPI Auto 9v7NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now