Luke Shliger
C · Toledo Mud Hens · Triple-A · 24.0y · #3040 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait
44 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $3.50 against the $3.90 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome LUKE SHLIGER 1st Bowman…. Evidence still thin.
Our take
Fringe prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Luke Shliger scores 44 out of 100 (#3040 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Power: well below
.000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.746 last season to .543 this one.
Power slipping
.103 last season to .000 this one.
Plate discipline: plus-plus
30.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 99% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Triple-A.
Why now
Listed at your price — $2.99
target is $3.02
3 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Small sample
10 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-LS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 8 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-LS
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$2.99delivered
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger Auto Giants (1i) — $2.99 delivered, 23% under the $3.90 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Evidence still thin
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
60 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 60 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 54 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome LUKE SHLIGER 1st Bowman Autograph #CDA-LS Rookie Auto Giants
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 60d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $3.90
PASS · 30% under
2023 Bowman Draft Luke Shliger Chrome Auto #CDA-LS 1st Prospect Giants
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 265d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $3.90
PASS · 36% under
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-LS Luke Shliger 1st Auto Giants
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 404d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $3.90
PASS · 49% under
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-LS Luke Shliger 1st Auto Giants
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 404d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $3.90
PASS · 49% under
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CDA-LS Giants
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 834d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $3.90
PASS · 23% under
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft #CDA-LS Luke Shliger 1st Auto San Francisco Giants
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 599d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$3.50
sold $3.90
LOTTERY · 10% under
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $2.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $2.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.98 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +200%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.57 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +62%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.32 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +58%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
10.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
37
well below · better than 9% at his level
.000 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level
30.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
39
well below · better than 13% at his level · the result, not a skill
.543 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 13th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 99% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 13, a gap of +45. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 99th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.8 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
10
AVG
.143
OBP
.400
SLG
.143
OPS
.543
better than 13%
HR
0
SB
0
BB%
30.0
K%
10.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .746 to .543 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.746▼.543
Power
.103▼.000
Walks
14.8%▲30.0%
Strikeouts
23.0%▼10.0%
Last season, 230 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market60 listed · 60 eBay-verified · 54 not shown above
- Listings
- 60
- Lowest live
- $2.99
- Median ask
- $7.52
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.50
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $10.99
60 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 54 cards
- $3.632023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO Luke Shliger #CDA-LS GiantsLOTTERY
- $3.69Luke Shliger 1st Chrome Prospect Auto - 2023 Bowman Draft CDA-LS SF GiantsLOTTERY
- $2.992023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger Auto Giants (1i)LOTTERY
- —2023 Bowman Draft Luke Shliger Auto #CDA-LS Chrome Prospect Autographs Giants RCPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Luke Shliger Chrome Auto #CDA-LS 1st Prospect GiantsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger 1st Bowman Auto San Fransico Giants MLBPASS
- $4.242023 Bowman Draft Luke Shliger Chrome 1st Auto San Francisco Giants #CDA-LSLOTTERY
- —2023 1st Bowman Chrome Mojo Refractor #D /150 Luke Shliger RC Auto #CDA-LSPASS
- $14.57LUKE SHLIGER 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome Aqua Lava Auto #’d /199 #CDA-LSLOTTERY
- $10.992023 Bowman Chrome Luke Shliger 1st Bowman On Card Auto Autograph Purple 149/250LOTTERY
- $10.992023 Bowman Chrome Luke Shliger 1st Bowman On Card Auto Autograph Purple #81/250LOTTERY
- —LUKE SHLIGER 2023 Bowman Chrome 1ST TRUE PURPLE ON-CARD AUTO SN# 118/250 PASS
- $23.632023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS PSA 9 MINT Auto 0jd0LOTTERY
- $35.002023 Bowman Draft #CDA-LS Luke Shliger 1st Chrome Prospect Auto SGC 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Luke Shliger #CDALS Auto Gold Refractor /50 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $4.502023 Bowman Draft Luke Shliger 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDALS Giants 1LOTTERY
- $4.502023 Bowman Draft Luke Shliger 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDALS Giants 3LOTTERY
- $4.502023 Bowman Draft Luke Shliger 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDALS Giants 2LOTTERY
- $11.602023 Luke Shliger Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto RC 396/499 #CDA-LS (H1265)LOTTERY
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger 1st Refractor Auto SP /499 #CDA-LS GiantsPASS
- $4.752023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO LUKE SHLIGER GIANTSLOTTERY
- $4.99Luke Shliger 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto Giants CDA-LSLOTTERY
- $4.99Luke Shliger 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-LS San Francisco GiantsLOTTERY
- $5.492023 Bowman Draft #CDA-LS Luke Shliger 1st Chrome Prospect Auto GiantsLOTTERY
- $6.00Luke Shliger 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft On-Card Auto 1st RC RookieLOTTERY
- $6.992023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Luke Shliger Auto GiantsLOTTERY
- $7.782023 Bowman Luke Shliger 1st Chrome Auto Giants #CDA-LSLOTTERY
- $8.742023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CDA-LSLOTTERY
- $9.002023 1st Bowman Chrome Luke Shliger Auto San Francisco GiantsLOTTERY
- $9.602023 Luke Shliger Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-LS (H1198) $6 MAX SHIPLOTTERY
- $10.982023 Bowman Chrome Luke Shliger 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-LS San Francisco GiantsLOTTERY
- $11.102023 Bowman Draft Chrome Luke Shliger 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-LSLOTTERY
- $13.99LUKE SHLIGER 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO PARALLEL #CDA-LSLOTTERY
- $13.99LUKE SHLIGER 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CDA-LSLOTTERY
- $14.242023 Bowman Draft LUKE SHLIGER Chrome Auto 1st Bowman San Fran Giants AutographLOTTERY
- $14.312023 Bowman Draft LUKE SHLIGER Chrome Auto 1st Bowman San Fran Giants AutographLOTTERY
- $17.322023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 78/99 Luke Shliger Auto 1ff8LOTTERY
- —2023 Luke Shliger Bowman Chrome Auto Draft Auto Giants 1st Bowman Auto ProspectPASS
- —LUKE SHLIGER 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto #CDA-LS San Francisco GiantsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Luke Shliger 1st Base Auto San Francisco GiantsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Luke Shliger 1st Base Auto Autograph GiantsPASS
- —2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Luke Shliger Prospect Autographs Auto #CDA-LSPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger 1st Auto #CDA-LS GiantsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Luke Shliger 1st Base Auto San Francisco GiantsPASS
- $8.982023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto gb4LOTTERY
- $7.072023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto 1k9eLOTTERY
- $7.192023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto 1u5yLOTTERY
- $7.202023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto 1cz3LOTTERY
- $7.312023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto pe8LOTTERY
- $7.352023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto 1l78LOTTERY
- $7.492023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto g1kLOTTERY
- $7.542023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto 1cc7LOTTERY
- $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Luke Shliger #CDA-LS Auto y5mLOTTERY
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Luke Shliger 1st on Card Auto CDA-LSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run