Deal Sniper

Esmith Pineda

CF · High-A · 21.0y · #3084 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

44 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best Red asks $5.36, over the $2.31 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 🔥2025 Bowman Chrome - Esmith Pineda 1st… at $14. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, expensive market.

Esmith Pineda scores 44 out of 100 (#3084 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.

  • Power: below average

    .076 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • OPS slipping

    .727 last season to .563 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .125 last season to .076 this one.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to High-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

  • 3 sellers have cut their price

    On this exact card in the last 30 days — sellers are competing, not holding.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EP — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 9 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 9 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EP

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 9 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is ESMITH PINEDA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REDS AUTO at $18.99, 722% over the $2.31 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $2.31 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

52 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 52 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 46 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-EP Reds

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.36

    sold $2.31

    PASS

  • Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EP Auto 1st RC

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 139d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.45

    sold $2.31

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome 1st Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 206d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.20

    sold $2.31

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Esmith Pineda 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-EP - Reds OF Prospect

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 316d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.25

    sold $2.31

    PASS

  • Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EP Auto 1st RC

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 206d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.34

    sold $2.31

    PASS

  • Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EP Auto 1st RC

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 253d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $7.64

    sold $2.31

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RedTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.36, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -2%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +545%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -61%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Reptilian Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -6%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.21, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 43 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 43 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    31.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    42

    below average · better than 21% at his level

    .076 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    8.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .563 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 25th percentile of the cohort, production at the 18th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 25 and his production sits at 18, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 57th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.4 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

205

AVG

.208

OBP

.279

SLG

.284

OPS

.563

better than 18%

HR

3

SB

0

BB%

8.8

K%

31.7

Is this player getting better?

Down from .727 to .563 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.727.563

Power

.125.076

Walks

9.2%8.8%

Strikeouts

21.0%31.7%

Last season, 414 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market52 listed · 52 eBay-verified · 46 not shown above
Listings
52

52 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.36
Median ask
$12.61
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.36
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$13.38

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 46 cards

  • $8.04Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-EP RedsPASS
  • $8.612025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EP RedsPASS
  • $9.002025 1st Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda Auto Cincinnati RedsPASS
  • $10.07Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Auto Reds RC Card #CPA-EPPASS
  • $10.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Esmith Pineda RedsPASS
  • $11.102025 Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda 1st Prospect AutoPASS
  • $11.482025 Bowman Chrome - Esmith Pineda 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-EP - Reds OF ProspectPASS
  • $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Esmith Pineda Auto Cincinnati Reds #CPA-EPPASS
  • $12.992025 Bowman - Esmith Pineda Chrome Prospect Auto Reds Bowman 1stPASS
  • $13.382025 Bowman 1st #CPA-EP Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor #/299PASS
  • $13.392025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autographs Esmith Pineda Auto Cincinnati RedsPASS
  • $13.98Esmith Pineda Rookie Prospect Auto Bowman Chrome 1st CPA-EP 2025 Cincinnati RedsPASS
  • $14.00🔥2025 Bowman Chrome - Esmith Pineda 1st Bowman True Green Refractor Auto /99PASS
  • $14.952025 1st Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda Auto Reptilian Green Refractor #'d /99PASS
  • $14.992025 1st Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda Auto Reptilian Green Refractor #'d /99PASS
  • $15.122025 Esmith Pineda 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto (AU) #CPA-EP Reds Look!PASS
  • $16.212025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Yellow Auto /75 Esmith Pineda #CPA-EP RedsPASS
  • $16.312025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor /150 1st ProspectPASS
  • $18.99ESMITH PINEDA 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH REDS AUTOPASS
  • $19.842025 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT ESMITH PINEDA AUTO PSA 9PASS
  • $34.572025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 331/499 Esmith Pineda #CPA-EP Auto 14sdPASS
  • $34.992025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Esmith Pineda #CPA-EP (AU, RC) Reds PSA 10PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda Auto #CPA-EP Reds 1st BowmanPASS
  • Esmith Pineda - 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st - Auto - CPA-EP - RedsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda 1st Bowman Auto Reds CPA-EPPASS
  • Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EP Auto 1st RCPASS
  • Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-EP 1st Prospect Cincinnati RedsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda 1st Bowman Auto CPA-EP Reds ProspectPASS
  • 2025 Bowman #CPA-EP Esmith Pineda 1st Chrome Auto Purple Refractor #/250PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Esmith Pineda #CPA-EP Speckle Refractor /299 PASS
  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EP RedsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EP RedsPASS
  • Esmith Pineda - 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st - Auto - RC - #CPA-EP - RedsPASS
  • Esmith Pineda 1st Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect #CPA-EP Cincinnati RedsPASS
  • 2025 Topps Bowman 1st Chrome Auto of Reds Esmith Pineda #CPA-EPPASS
  • Esmith Pineda 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st CPA-EP Cincinnati REDSPASS
  • 2025 Bowman ESMITH PINEDA 1st Chrome Auto Bowman CPA-EP - RedsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Prospect 1st Base Auto #CPA-EPPASS
  • 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Esmith Pineda #CPA-EP Purple Refractor /250PASS
  • 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Base AUTO Esmith PinedaPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EP Cincinnati RedsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda 1st Blue Geometric Auto /150 Reds #CPA-EPPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Esmith Pineda 1st Blue Geometric Auto /150 Reds #CPA-EPPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto #CPA-EP 1st Prospect RedsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman ESMITH PINEDA 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Card #CPA-EP - Cincinnati RedsPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Esmith Pineda Chrome Auto 1st CPA-EPPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player