Juan Brito
2B · Triple-A · 24.0y · #1376 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
8 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Juan Brito Chrome Auto Purple…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Juan Brito scores 56 out of 100 (#1376 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $5–8 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
OPS slipping
.820 last season to .728 this one.
Power slipping
.207 last season to .155 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: plus
14.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 79% at his level.
Premium position
2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JBO — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$4.88–8.13midpoint $6.50
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 2 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JBO
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Juan Brito #CPA-JBO Rockies at $11.31, 74% over the $6.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $6.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
8 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 8 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 2 are under "The whole live market".
Juan Brito - 2023 Bowman Chrome Speckle Auto /299 1st Bowman SGC 9.5
/299 · SGC 9.5 · listed 144d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$35.49
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Juan Brito - 2023 Bowman Chrome Speckle Auto /299 1st Bowman PSA 9
/299 · PSA 9 · listed 144d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$35.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Juan Brito - 2023 Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499 1st Bowman SGC 10
/499 · SGC 10 · listed 144d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$35.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Juan Brito Chrome Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 Rockies SGC 10
/250 · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 11d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 1st Edition Bowman Chrome Auto Juan Brito #CPA-JBO /100 Atomic Refractor
/100 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $4.39–17.06
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JBO Juan Brito 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 76d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.99
sold $6.50
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 54 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level
18.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
51
average · better than 53% at his level
.155 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
58
plus · better than 79% at his level
14.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
11 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
48
average · better than 43% at his level · the result, not a skill
.728 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 64th percentile of the cohort, production at the 43th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 80% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 64 and his production sits at 43, a gap of +21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 80th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
444
AVG
.232
OBP
.341
SLG
.387
OPS
.728
better than 43%
HR
11
SB
8
BB%
14.0
K%
18.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .820 to .728 OPS this season — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.
Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.820▼.728
Power
.207▼.155
Walks
13.1%→14.0%
Strikeouts
21.2%▼18.0%
Last season, 99 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market8 listed · 8 eBay-verified · 2 not shown above
- Listings
- 8
- Lowest seen
- $10.99
- Median ask
- $35.49
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $10.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $35.49
8 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 2 cards
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run