Deal Sniper

Demetrio Crisantes

SS · Triple-A · 21.0y · #1409 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

11 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Demetrio Crisantes 1st Bowman Chrome…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Demetrio Crisantes scores 56 out of 100 (#1409 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +5.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 100% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $34–56 off 1 confirmed sale.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +5.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 100% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    4.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • OPS slipping

    .773 last season to .654 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .163 last season to .091 this one.

  • Contact: above average

    18.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 72% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Triple-A.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DCS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$33.75–56.25midpoint $45.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-21 · 4 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DCS

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DCS Demetrio Crisantes 1st Auto Diamondbacks at $67.99, 51% over the $45 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $45 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

11 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 11 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 5 are under "The whole live market".

  • DEMETRIO CRISANTES - 2023 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto #CPA-DCS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $45

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Demetrio Crisantes 1st Gold Refractor Auto /50 Diamondbacks

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $807.99

    modeled $48.60–189

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Demetrio Crisantes 1st Autographs #CPA-DCS Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 17d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $45

    PASS

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome - DEMETRIO CRISANTES (Bowman 1st) - Purple Auto /250 #CPA-DCS

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $233.00

    modeled $26.33–102

    PASS

  • Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Demetrio Crisantes 1st Bowman RC Auto #CPA-DCS

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Seller risk · 3 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    sold $45

    PASS

  • Demetrio Crisantes PSA 10 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-DCS

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 10d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $135.24

    modeled ~$124.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Demetrio Crisantes, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $33.99–$71.39, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $67.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $95.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +40%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $233.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +144%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $807.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +247%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 45 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 45 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    56

    above average · better than 72% at his level

    18.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    .091 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level

    4.2% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .654 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill

    +5.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 33th percentile of the cohort, production at the 27th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 33 and his production sits at 27, a gap of +6. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 55th percentile.

Will he get there?

Strong chance 7.4 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • young for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

118

AVG

.264

OBP

.299

SLG

.355

OPS

.654

better than 27%

HR

1

SB

0

BB%

4.2

K%

18.6

Is this player getting better?

Down from .773 to .654 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.773.654

Power

.163.091

Walks

13.9%4.2%

Strikeouts

12.6%18.6%

Last season, 151 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 5 not shown above
Listings
11

11 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$67.99
Median ask
$115.71
Cheapest 1st auto
$67.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$95.49

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 5 cards

  • 2023 Demetrio Crisantes 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $95.492023 Bowman Chrome - Demetrio Crisantes 1st Auto Refractor /499PASS
  • $96.172023 Bowman Chrome Demetrio Crisantes Auto 1st Refractor #/499 Diamondbacks PASS
  • $67.992023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-DCS Demetrio Crisantes 1st Auto DiamondbacksPASS
  • 2023 Demetrio Crisantes 1st Bowman Chrome AutoPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player