Deal Sniper

Kristian Robinson

LF · Triple-A · 25.0y · #1369 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

56 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

15 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Kristian Robinson scores 56 out of 100 (#1369 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — lF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    27.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power slipping

    .186 last season to .161 this one.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    13.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 78% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Double-A to Triple-A.

  • Bat-first profile

    LF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    LF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2018 Kristian Robinson Auto Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman PSA 9 Diamondbacks #BCPA-KR at $32.68, 152% over the $12.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $12.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

15 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 15 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 9 are under "The whole live market".

  • Kristian Robinson Rc Rookie 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Bgs 9/10

    /10 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 468d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $40.98

    modeled $22.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Kristian Robinson Rc Rookie 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Bgs 9/10

    /10 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 468d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $40.98

    modeled $22.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Kristian Robinson Rc Rookie 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Bgs 9/10

    /10 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 468d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $40.98

    modeled $22.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Kristian Robinson Rc Rookie 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Bgs 9/10

    /10 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 468d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $40.98

    modeled $22.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 KRISTIAN ROBINSON BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO AUTOGRAPH PSA 9 MINT BCPAKR

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 30d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $26.19

    sold $12.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Kristian Robinson Auto Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman PSA 9 Diamondbacks #BCPA-KR

    base · PSA 9 · listed 466d

    Past the window · 3 other things in the way

    $32.68

    sold $12.99

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Kristian Robinson, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $12.50–$26.25, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in psa 9 autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 9 autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $25.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $25.00 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 53 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    44

    below average · better than 26% at his level

    27.9% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    51

    average · better than 55% at his level

    .161 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    58

    plus · better than 78% at his level

    13.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level

    29 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 69% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .828 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 60th percentile of the cohort, production at the 69th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 60 and his production sits at 69, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 34th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A
  • hitting well — 0.828 OPS in 438 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

438

AVG

.279

OBP

.388

SLG

.440

OPS

.828

better than 69%

HR

12

SB

21

BB%

13.9

K%

27.9

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .795 to .828 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.795▲.828

Power

.186▼.161

Walks

13.8%→13.9%

Strikeouts

30.2%▼27.9%

Last season, 334 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market15 listed · 15 eBay-verified · 9 not shown above
Listings
15

15 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$25.00
Median ask
$38.97
Cheapest 1st auto
$26.19
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$40.98

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 9 cards

  • —2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Kristian Robinson Diamondbacks PSA 9 GEMPASS
  • —Kristian Robinson Rc Rookie 1st Bowman Chrome Auto PSA 9PASS
  • $36.98Kristian Robinson BGS 9.5 10 2018 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Rookie Autograph Gem +NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.952018 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Kristian Robinson BGS 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Kristian Robinson Autograph Signed 2018 1st Bowman Chrome #BCP-186 Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2018 Bowman Chrome Kristian Robinson 1st Bowman RC Auto #BCPA-KRNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Kristian Robinson Rookie RC #BCP186 Non Auto DiamondbacksNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $25.00KRISTIAN ROBINSON 2018 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO ROOKIE CARD PSA 9 MINT RC TOP PROSPECTLOTTERY
  • $26.49KRISTIAN ROBINSON AUTO PSA 9 2018 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECTS RC ROOKIEPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now