Carlos Virahonda
C · High-A · 20.0y · #23 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
86 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
13 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2026 Bowman Carlos Virahonda Chrome Auto…. Priced above value.
Our take
Strong prospect, untested market.
Carlos Virahonda scores 86 out of 100 (#23 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $14–16 off 16 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Speed: below average
7 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Contact: plus
16.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 89% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 90/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CV — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$14.09–15.89midpoint $14.99
Confirmed· 16 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 6 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-CV
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Carlos Virahonda 1st Bowman Auto Diamondbacks CPA-CV at $28.82, 92% over the $14.39–15 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $14.39 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
13 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 13 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 7 are under "The whole live market".
2026 Bowman Carlos Virahonda Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-CV Diamondbacks
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
—
sold $14.39–15
PASS
Carlos Virahonda 2026 Bowman Chrome Green Lava Refractor Auto /99 1st Prospect
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$56.49
modeled $15.22–40.04
PASS
CARLOS VIRAHONDA 2026 1st Bowman Chrome True Green Refractor /99 Auto Autograph
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$185.75
modeled $15.22–40.04
PASS
2026 Bowman CARLOS VIRAHONDA 1st Bowman Chrome Green Shimmer Auto /99 #CPA-CV
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $15.22–40.04
PASS
Carlos Virahonda 2026 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st Prospect RC
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$46.49
sold $40
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Carlos Virahonda 1st Bowman Auto Purple REF /250 Diamondbacks
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$49.99
modeled $10.99–28.92
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Carlos Virahonda, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $14.41–$30.26, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $45.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $45.74 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +59%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $49.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $49.99 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $46.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $46.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -7%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $56.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $56.49 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +22%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $185.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $185.75 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +229%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
62
plus · better than 89% at his level
16.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
62
plus · better than 88% at his level
.236 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
51
average · better than 55% at his level
12.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
46
below average · better than 36% at his level
7 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
66
plus-plus · better than 94% at his level · the result, not a skill
.951 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 67th percentile of the cohort, production at the 94th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 90% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 67 and his production sits at 94, a gap of -27. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 10th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.9 / 10
- hitting well — 0.951 OPS in 175 PA (not ranked against his level)
- form is climbing
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
175
AVG
.293
OBP
.422
SLG
.529
OPS
.951
better than 94%
HR
8
SB
2
BB%
12.0
K%
16.0
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .719 to .951 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.719▲.951
Power
.101▲.236
Walks
8.5%▲12.0%
Strikeouts
22.2%▼16.0%
Last season, 153 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market13 listed · 13 eBay-verified · 7 not shown above
- Listings
- 13
- Lowest seen
- $28.82
- Median ask
- $48.24
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $28.82
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $45.74
13 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 1 day ago.
The other 7 cards
- $45.74Carlos Virahonda 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Refractor Auto /299 #CPA-CVPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Carlos Virahonda Yellow X-Fractor Auto /75 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $28.82Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome Carlos Virahonda 1st Bowman Auto Diamondbacks CPA-CVPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Carlos Virahonda # CPA-CV DiamondbacksPASS
- —Bowman Chrome 1st 2026 Carlos Virahonda Auto #CPA-CVPASS
- —Bowman 2026 Bowman Chrome Carlos Virahonda 1st Bowman Auto CPA-CV DbacksPASS
- —CARLOS VIRAHONDA 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Base Auto Autograph #CPA-CVPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run