Josiah Hartshorn
CF · High-A · 19.0y · #17 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
87 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /250 asks $258, over the $250 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome - Josiah Hartshorn… at $121. Needs a $49 drop.
Our take
Strong prospect, expensive market.
Josiah Hartshorn scores 87 out of 100 (#17 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $72–110 off 3 confirmed sales.
The player is not the problem here; the entry is. Waiting for a reset costs nothing while the baseball case is intact.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
Power: plus-plus
.253 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 93% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: above average
20.4% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 74% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (93th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
Listed at your price — $28.00
target is $72.00
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JHA — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 7 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$71.99–110midpoint $90.00
Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 9 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-JHA
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 7 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Josiah Hartshorn 1st Bowman Auto Cubs CPA-JHA at $133, 48% over the $89–99.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $89 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $49 drop
- 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome - Josiah Hartshorn… at or under $72 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
What is for sale right now
27 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 27 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 21 are under "The whole live market".
2025 BOWMAN CHROME JOSIAH HARTSHORN AUTO /250 PURPLE REFRACTOR 1ST #CPA-JHA CUBS
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$257.98
sold $250
WATCH
2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn 1st Chrome True Orange Auto /25 SEALED Cubs
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 55h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $130–462
WATCH
2025 BOWMAN CHROME JOSIAH HARTSHORN AUTO /50 GOLD SHIMMER REFRACTOR 1ST #CPA-JHA
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$907.98
modeled $104–370
WATCH
2025 Bowman Chrome Josiah Hartshorn 1st RC Bowman Green Auto /99 Chicago Cubs TP
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$614.98
modeled $77.75–277
WATCH
2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn 1st Chrome Green Lava Refractor Auto /99 Cubs
/99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $77.75–277
WATCH
Josiah Hartshorn 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft HTA Choice Refractor 1st Auto #/150
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $64.79–231
WATCH
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Josiah Hartshorn, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $14.00–$29.40, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $257.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $257.98 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +821%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $614.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $614.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +138%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $907.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $907.98 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +48%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 sale and 3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 56 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 56 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level
20.4% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level
.253 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level
13.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
15 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · the result, not a skill
.937 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 70th percentile of the cohort, production at the 91th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 83% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 70 and his production sits at 91, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 17th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.8 / 10
- young for High-A
- hitting well — 0.937 OPS in 318 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
318
AVG
.291
OBP
.393
SLG
.544
OPS
.937
better than 91%
HR
15
SB
8
BB%
13.2
K%
20.4
What his cards have sold for2 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market27 listed · 27 eBay-verified · 21 not shown above
- Listings
- 27
- Lowest live
- $28.00
- Median ask
- $222.14
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $120.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $257.98
27 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 21 cards
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Chrome Auto HTA Choice Refractor 1st #/150WATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Chrome 1st Auto True Blue Refractor /150 CubsWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Chrome 1st Purple Auto /250 Cubs #CPA-JHWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Chrome Auto Refractor 1st Prospect /499 CubsWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Josiah Hartshorn 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-JHA CubsWATCH
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st - Josiah Hartshorn - Refractor Auto /499 - CPA-JHAWATCH
- $28.002025 Bowman Draft 1st Josiah Hartshorn Autographed Signed Auto Cubs Auto BD-21PASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto Josiah Hartshorn #CPA-JHA Cubs Prospect AUPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Auto 1st AU Chrome #CPA-JHA Chicago CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Auto 1st Chrome #CPA-JHA Chicago CubsPASS
- —Josiah Hartshorn 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Refractor Auto /499 #CPA-JHA CubsPASS
- $186.29Josiah Hartshorn 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto #CPA-JHA PSA 9 ChicagoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5006.50Josiah Hartshorn 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Peanuts Refractor Auto /5 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn 1st Chrome Auto Orange Wave /25 PSA 10 GEM MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $120.992025 Bowman Draft Chrome - Josiah Hartshorn 1st AUTO #CPA-JHAPASS
- $132.992025 Bowman Draft Chrome Josiah Hartshorn 1st Bowman Auto Cubs CPA-JHAPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Auto 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JHA Chicago CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Josiah Hartshorn 1st Auto #CPA-JHA CubsPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Chrome Auto 1st RC Prospect Chicago Cubs TP!PASS
- —2025 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Josiah Hartshorn Prospect Auto RC Cubs Pack FreshPASS
- —2025 Bowman Draft Josiah Hartshorn Auto 1st Chrome #CPA-JHA Chicago CubsPASS
Worth reading for this player
- Grading break-even calculator — his cards have sold graded, so the raw-versus-graded gap is a real decision here
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same