Cole Carrigg
CF · Albuquerque Isotopes · Triple-A · 24.0y · #146 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- STRONG PROSPECT
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
76 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best Refractor asks $14.98 against the $25–32.99 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg 1st Bowman… at $41. Needs a $21 drop.
Our take
Strong prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Cole Carrigg scores 76 out of 100 (#146 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $23–36 off 3 confirmed sales.
A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.
Speed: plus-plus
70 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 98% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: plus
15.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 85% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Elite speed (98th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
Listed at your price — $14.98
target is $20.80
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-CC — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$22.50–36.29midpoint $26.00
Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-22 · 6 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CDA-CC
Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto
The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$14.98delivered
COLE CARRIGG 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor #BDC-151 & Prospect Edition AUTO — $14.98 delivered, 42% under the $25–32.99 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Needs a $21 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg 1st Bowman… at or under $20.80 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
33 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 32 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 26 are under "The whole live market".
COLE CARRIGG 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Refractor #BDC-151 & Prospect Edition AUTO
Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$14.98
sold $25–32.99
WATCH · 42% under
2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CC Cole Carrigg 1st Prospect Chrome Auto Rockies
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $25–32.99
PASS · 4% under
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Gold Refractor AUTO /50 Cole Carrigg #CDA-CC
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$505.98
modeled $32.40–122
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg Chrome Auto Sparkle Refractor 1st #/71 Rockies
/71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$110.50
modeled $27–102
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Cole Carrigg Sparkle Refractor Auto #/71 #CDA-CC Rockies
/71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 82d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$312.98
modeled $27–102
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg Chrome Auto Green Refractor 1st #/99 Rockies
/99 · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $24.30–91.45
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $41.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $41.00 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $14.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $14.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -64%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Aqua Lava Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $130.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $130.98 live
- Scarcity
- 199 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +774%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $105.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $105.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -19%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $312.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $312.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +195%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $110.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $110.50 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -65%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $505.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $505.98 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +358%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 59 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 59 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
60
plus · better than 85% at his level
15.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
55
above average · better than 70% at his level
.191 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
10.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
71
plus-plus · better than 98% at his level
70 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
62
plus · better than 88% at his level · the result, not a skill
.943 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
61
plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 75th percentile of the cohort, production at the 88th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 75 and his production sits at 88, a gap of -13. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 29th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.9 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.943 OPS in 257 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
257
AVG
.338
OBP
.414
SLG
.529
OPS
.943
better than 88%
HR
6
SB
30
BB%
10.5
K%
15.2
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .710 to .943 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.710▲.943
Power
.157▲.191
Walks
8.4%▲10.5%
Strikeouts
27.0%▼15.2%
Last season, 537 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market33 listed · 33 eBay-verified · 26 not shown above
- Listings
- 33
- Lowest live
- $14.98
- Median ask
- $204.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $41.00
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $105.98
33 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 35 minutes ago.
The other 26 cards
- $105.98Cole Carrigg 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Blue Wave Refractor Auto 1st #/150PASS
- $312.982025 Bowman Chrome 1st Cole Carrigg True Blue Refractor Auto #/150 #CDA-CCPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Cole Carrigg CDA-CC 1st HTA Choice Auto /150 RockiesPASS
- $130.982023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Aqua Lava Refractor AUTO /199 Cole Carrigg #CDA-CCPASS
- —COLE CARRIGG Auto /199 Aqua Lava 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Refractor 1st RCPASS
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Cole Carrigg 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250 CDA-CC RCPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Cole Carrigg 1st Prospect Purple Ref AUTO /250 Color MatchPASS
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Refractor 1st Cole Carrigg /499 CDA-CCPASS
- $215.98COLE CARRIGG 2023 Bowman 1st Chrome REFRACTOR AUTO /499 Rockies RC📈📈💎PSA 10💎NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $306.992023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg 1st Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 10 #CDA-CCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $306.992023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg 1st Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 10 #CDA-CCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $316.982023 Bowman Chrome 1st Cole Carrigg Purple Refractor Auto #/250 SGC 10/10 🟣NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $355.982023 Bowman Draft COLE CARRIGG 1st RC Auto True Green Refractor /99 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $699.99Cole Carrigg 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Black Refractor Auto /75 PSA 10 Rockies CardNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Cole Carrigg 1st Choice Auto /150 SGC 9.5/10 RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Cole Carrigg 2023 Bowman Draft 1st AUTO Gold Wave #/50 - SGC 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Cole Carrigg 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Draft HTA /150 SGC 10 Gem Mint RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $41.002023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDACC Colorado Rockies 1PASS
- $51.242023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Cole Carrigg #CDA-CC Auto 0nj8PASS
- $55.992023 Bowman Draft Cole Carrigg 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-CC Rockies RookiePASS
- $151.23Cole Carrigg 2023 Topps Bowman 1st Auto 828664PASS
- $193.99Cole Carrigg 2023 topps Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Prospect 1ST Signed Auto Cole Carrigg #CDA-CC RockiesPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CC Cole Carrigg 1st Prospect Chrome Auto RockiesPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect Autographs Cole Carrigg Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-CC Cole Carrigg 1st Prospect Chrome Auto RockiesPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run