Deal Sniper

Cal Raleigh

C · Tacoma Rainiers · Triple-A · 29.0y · #1852 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

4 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Cal Raleigh scores 51 out of 100 (#1852 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: elite — 1.071 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 100% at his level.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 17 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than only 17% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: elite

    1.071 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 100% at his level.

  • Premium position

    C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Contact: plus

    11.8% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 92% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    17 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Age for the level

    -3.0y vs his level at Triple-A puts him younger than only 17% of the cohort. The clock is a real cost on a prospect card.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

4 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 4 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 4 worth looking at, best first.

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome CAL RALEIGH Green Refractor RC AUTO #/99 1st - PSA 9 Low Pop

    /99 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 7d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Cal Raleigh CPA-CR 1st Auto Seattle Mariners

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 120d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $303.98

    modeled ~$4.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Cal Raleigh 2026 Bowman Chrome #PC-21 Gold Refractor Power Chords Auto 2/50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $50005.00

    modeled ~$80.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2019 Bowman Chrome Prospects Blue Refractor 44/150 Cal Raleigh #CPA-CR Auto 5h0

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 4 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $1685.26

    modeled ~$3.25

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Cal Raleigh, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $151.99–$319.18, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in 9, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing 9.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 60 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 60 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level

    11.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    1.071 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    53

    above average · better than 60% at his level

    11.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level · the result, not a skill

    2.029 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    40

    well below · better than 17% at his level · context, not a skill

    -3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 70th percentile of the cohort, production at the 100th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 91% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 70 and his production sits at 100, a gap of -30. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 9th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.3 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

17

AVG

.429

OBP

.529

SLG

1.500

OPS

2.029

better than 100%

HR

5

SB

0

BB%

11.8

K%

11.8

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25 — $275.00 plus $0.00 shipping · /250 · graded 9 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market4 listed · 4 eBay-verified
Listings
4

4 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$303.98
Median ask
$1685.26
Cheapest 1st auto
$303.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
—

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now