Brock Rodden
SS · Tacoma Rainiers · Triple-A · 26.0y · #440 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
66 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
49 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
The ask is over the odds — $55.99 against $51.75 these actually sell for — so the ask is not the price to think about. The offer is.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Brock Rodden scores 66 out of 100 (#440 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .237 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 84% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $34–56 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Power: plus
.237 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 84% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 76/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
SS is a position the hobby pays up for; 26.0 is old for a prospect card.
Power improving
.171 last season to .237 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$33.75–56.25midpoint $45.00
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Brock Rodden Auto 1b96 at $125, 444% over the $20–22.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $20 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
49 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 49 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 43 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Chrome Green Lava Refractor Auto /99 Mariners
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 51h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $36.45–142
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Brock Rodden CDA-BR 1st Auto Prospect RC Rookie
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 55h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $20–22.99
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Draft BROCK RODDEN Mariners Black Refractor 1st Auto SP /75
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$105.48
modeled $40.50–158
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Brock Rodden True Blue Refractor Auto /150 Mariners 1st
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $30.38–118
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Brock Rodden #CDA-BR Auto 19d7
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$25.66
sold $20–22.99
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Brock Rodden #CDA-BR Auto
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$55.99
modeled $23.29–90.56
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Brock Rodden, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $12.83–$26.94, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.66, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.66 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $124.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $124.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +387%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $55.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $55.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -55%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.00 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +16%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $106.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $106.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +65%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $131.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $131.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +23%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $105.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $105.48 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -20%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $235.54, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $235.54 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +123%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $184.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $184.98 live
- Scarcity
- 71 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -22%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Green /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $131.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $131.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -29%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
50
average · better than 50% at his level
22.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level
.237 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
10.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
50
average · better than 51% at his level
12 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
56
above average · better than 72% at his level · the result, not a skill
.841 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 58th percentile of the cohort, production at the 72th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 58 and his production sits at 72, a gap of -14. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 28th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.9 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
- hitting well — 0.841 OPS in 410 PA (not ranked against his level)
- form is climbing
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
410
AVG
.262
OBP
.342
SLG
.499
OPS
.841
better than 72%
HR
19
SB
8
BB%
10.5
K%
22.7
Is this player getting better?
About the same as last season — .822 to .841 OPS.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.822→.841
Power
.171▲.237
Walks
7.4%▲10.5%
Strikeouts
30.1%▼22.7%
Last season, 163 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market49 listed · 49 eBay-verified · 43 not shown above
- Listings
- 49
- Lowest seen
- $25.66
- Median ask
- $106.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $35.48
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $99.99
49 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 12 hours ago.
The other 43 cards
- $235.542023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Sparkle Refractor 39/71 Brock Rodden Auto 04qnPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden Chrome Prospect Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-BR (RC)PASS
- $99.992023 Bowman Brock Rodden Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-BR Seattle Mariners 1st 2PASS
- $99.992023 Bowman Brock Rodden Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-BR Seattle Mariners 1st 1PASS
- $120.232023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Brock Rodden #CDA-BR SGC 10 GEM Auto ez6NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $205.992023 (1ST) Bowman Chrome Draft BROCK RODDEN Auto SPARKLE Rookie RC #D/71 {PSA 9}NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $254.942023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Black Refractor Auto /75 BGS 9 Auto 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $255.992023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st True Gold Auto 42/50 SGC 9.5/10 SeattleNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $309.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Gold Wave Auto 19/50 SGC 9.5/10 SeattleNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $359.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Gold Shimmer Auto 24/50 PSA 10 MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $384.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Orange Wave Auto 21/25 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $519.98Brock Rodden - 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Refractor Auto /50 - PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $719.98Brock Rodden - 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Refractor Auto /50 - PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $131.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st True Green Auto 22/99 Seattle Mariners PASS
- $131.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Green Lava Auto 41/99 Seattle Mariners PASS
- $159.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Black Refractor Auto 28/75 Seattle Mariners PASS
- $184.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Speckle Auto 64/71 Seattle Mariners PASS
- $184.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Speckle Auto 36/71 Seattle MarinersPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden True Blue Auto /150 1st BowmanPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Blue Wave Refractor Auto /150 MarinersPASS
- $65.00Brock Rodden - 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Purple Refractor Auto /250 -MarinersPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft 1st Bowman Brock Rodden Purple Refractor Auto #/250 MarinersPASS
- $81.00Brock Rodden - Bowman 1st - 2023 Bowman Draft - Refractor Auto /499 - MarinersPASS
- $106.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Blue Wave Auto 025/150 Seattle Mariners PASS
- $106.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Blue Wave Auto 037/150 Seattle Mariners PASS
- $106.982023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Blue Wave Auto 045/150 Seattle Mariners PASS
- $35.482023 Bowman Draft | Brock Rodden | 1st Bowman Chrome Auto | MarinersPASS
- $35.50Brock Rodden 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CDA-BR MarinersPASS
- $39.99Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st CDA-BR Auto Chrome Auto MarinersPASS
- $40.002023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Brock Rodden 1st Bowman Seattle MarinersPASS
- $40.98BROCK RODDEN 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto 2023 Draft #CDA-BR Mariners RCPASS
- $45.00Brock Rodden Bowman 1st Auto - Bowman Draft Auto Seattle MarinersPASS
- $49.992023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Brock Rodden 1st Bowman Seattle Mariners 3PASS
- $49.992023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Brock Rodden 1st Bowman Seattle Mariners 2PASS
- $49.992023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Brock Rodden 1st Bowman Seattle Mariners 1PASS
- $124.992023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Brock Rodden Auto 1b96PASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDA-BR MarinersPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden 1st Chrome Auto /25 True Orange MarinersPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Brock Rodden Auto #CDA-BR Seattle MarinersPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Brock Rodden Auto #CDA-BR Seattle MarinersPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Brock Rodden Auto #CDA-BR Seattle MarinersPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft Brock Rodden CDA-BR Seattle Mariners 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- —2023 Bowman Draft 1st AUTO Brock Rodden #CDA-BR MarinersPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run