Axel Sanchez
SS · Tacoma Rainiers · Triple-A · 23.0y · #569 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
63 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
34 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is AXEL SANCHEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME SPECKLE…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Axel Sanchez scores 63 out of 100 (#569 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $1–1 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 47 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 95% of the players there.
Contact: below average
25.5% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.741 last season to .627 this one.
Speed: above average
26 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 76% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
47 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$0.74–1.24midpoint $0.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 24 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is AXEL SANCHEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN AUTO #CPA-AS at $17.20, 1637% over the $0.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $0.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
34 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 34 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 28 are under "The whole live market".
Axel Sanchez 1st Auto /25 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-AS Seattle Mariners
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1074d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$269.99
modeled $1.34–5.20
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Axel Sanchez Auto Speckle Refractor/299 Mariners
/299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 39d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$12.78
modeled $0.56–2.17
LOTTERY
Axel Sanchez 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome On Card Auto #CPA-AS Seattle Mariners RC
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 87d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.19
sold $0.99
LOTTERY
2023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-AS Mariners
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 785d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$7.99
sold $0.99
LOTTERY
2023 Axel Sanchez Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto RC #CDA-AS (H1081) $6 MAX SHIP
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$8.60
sold $0.99
LOTTERY
2023 BOWMAN CHROME! AXEL SANCHEZ! 1ST BOWMAN! ON-CARD AUTO! SEATTLE MARINERS
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 411d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.40
sold $0.99
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.19, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.19 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.78 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +146%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $63.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $63.32 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +396%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $269.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $269.99 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +326%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level
25.5% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
53
above average · better than 63% at his level
.175 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
10.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
57
above average · better than 76% at his level
26 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
42
below average · better than 22% at his level · the result, not a skill
.627 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 55th percentile of the cohort, production at the 22th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 94% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 55 and his production sits at 22, a gap of +33. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 94th percentile.
Will he get there?
Strong chance 7.2 / 10
- already at Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
47
AVG
.175
OBP
.277
SLG
.350
OPS
.627
better than 22%
HR
2
SB
2
BB%
10.6
K%
25.5
Is this player getting better?
Down from .741 to .627 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.741▼.627
Power
.172→.175
Walks
10.5%→10.6%
Strikeouts
26.3%→25.5%
Last season, 114 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market34 listed · 34 eBay-verified · 28 not shown above
- Listings
- 34
- Lowest seen
- $5.19
- Median ask
- $16.98
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.19
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $12.78
34 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 28 cards
- $11.492023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-AS Seattle MarinersLOTTERY
- $14.492023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 11LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 9LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 10LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 8 LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 7 LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 6LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners -5 LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 4LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 3LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 2LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 17LOTTERY
- $16.982022 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 16LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 15LOTTERY
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Chrome Auto Seattle Mariners - 14LOTTERY
- $17.20AXEL SANCHEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN AUTO #CPA-ASLOTTERY
- —Topps 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Axel Sanchez 1st Bowman Auto BCP-73 MarinersPASS
- —AXEL SANCHEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-AS AUTO 1ST PROSPECT MARINERSPASS
- $63.322023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 99/99 Axel Sanchez #CPA-AS Auto 15txPASS
- $11.102023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-AS Seattle Mariners WCLOTTERY
- $36.982023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez 1st Refractor Auto /499 PSA 9 MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $39.732023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 51/75 Axel Sanchez PSA 9 Auto 0p10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $40.892023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 13/99 Axel Sanchez PSA 9 Auto 1h39NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez CPA-AS Seattle Mariners Prospect Auto SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto -- Axel Sanchez #CPA-AS --- PSA 10 MarinersNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —AXEL SANCHEZ 2023 BOWMAN CHROME SPECKLE AUTO 61/299 PSA 9 Mariners 1st CpaasNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Axel Sanchez Yellow Auto /75 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run