Deal Sniper

Jack Penney

SS · West Michigan Whitecaps · High-A · 24.0y · #2053 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

49 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

24 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jack…. Player not there yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jack Penney scores 49 out of 100 (#2053 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .250 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 92% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 4 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Old for the level

    -1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than only 30% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: bottom of the scale

    0.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: plus

    .250 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 92% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Big power for his level (92th percentile); SS is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    4 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JPY — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 11 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 11 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JPY

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 11 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /99 at $23.82 costs 2.17× base, and print run alone suggests 1.80×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Evidence still thin
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

24 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 BOWMAN CHROME JACK PENNEY AUTO ORANGE SHIMMER /25 1st PROSPECT PSA 10

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 94d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jack Penney 1st Bowman RC Green Lava Refractor Auto /99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · listed 54d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $11.08–21.75

    PASS

  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jack Penney Auto Tigers #CPA-JPY

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 102d

    Player not there yet · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled $6.15–12.08

    PASS

  • Jack Penney 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Purple /250 #CPA-JPY Tigers

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 17d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $31.25

    modeled ~$4.01

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Jack Penney 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto RC 1st Bowman #CPA-JPY Tigers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Player not there yet · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $6.15–12.08

    PASS

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Refractor /150 Jack Penney #CPA-JPY Auto 0w47

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertainwhether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $27.66

    modeled ~$2.60

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.31, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -3%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1775%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $31.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -90%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $27.66, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -12%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $23.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -14%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    25.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level

    .250 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    34

    bottom of the scale · better than 5% at his level

    0.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.250 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level · context, not a skill

    -1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 44th percentile of the cohort, production at the 99th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 99% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 44 and his production sits at 99, a gap of -55. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 1th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.4 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

4

AVG

.500

OBP

.500

SLG

.750

OPS

1.250

better than 99%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

0.0

K%

25.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market24 listed · 24 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
Listings
24

24 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$10.99
Median ask
$16.32
Cheapest 1st auto
$10.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$16.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 18 cards

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Jack Penney Orange Wave /25 Detroit TigersPASS
  • Jack Penney Auto 1st Bowman 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JPY Detroit TigersPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jack Penney 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JPY Tigers ProspectPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Jack Penney Chrome Auto 1st Prospect Refractor Yellow #/75 TigersPASS
  • $299.99JACK PENNEY 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Speckle Auto /299PASS
  • $16.00JACK PENNEY 2025 1ST Bowman Chrome Detroit Tigers AUTO REFRACTOR 62/499LOTTERY
  • $16.322025 Bowman - Jack Penney 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto /499LOTTERY
  • 2025 Bowman - Chrome Prospect 1st Auto Jack Penney #CPA-JPY Refractor /499PASS
  • $10.992025 Bowman JACK PENNEY 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Auto Detroit TigersLOTTERY
  • $11.312025 Bowman Chrome Jack Penney 1st Bowman Autograph Auto Tigers SSLOTTERY
  • $14.492025 Bowman Chrome 1st Jack Penney Auto Autograph RC Rookie TIGERSLOTTERY
  • $15.002025 Bowman Chrome Jack Penney Prospect 1st Auto DETROIT TIGERS -SHIPS FREELOTTERY
  • $16.25JACK PENNEY 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL TIGERS AUTO Q4182LOTTERY
  • $18.942025 Bowman Chrome JACK PENNEY 1st Bowman auto autograph Detroit TigersLOTTERY
  • $20.002025 Bowman Jack Penney 1st Chrome Auto Detroit Tigers Rookie RCLOTTERY
  • $23.822025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Lava Refractor /99 Jack Penney Auto rw9LOTTERY
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Jack Penney Auto On Card Rookie Prospect #CPA-JPY SPPASS
  • 2025 Jack Penney Bowman 1st Chrome Baseball Auto Detroit Tigers ShPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player