Deal Sniper

Justin Riemer

2B · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2195 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

54 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer… at $1,006. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Justin Riemer scores 48 out of 100 (#2195 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 11 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Power: well below

    .000 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Power slipping

    .043 last season to .000 this one.

  • Contact: above average

    18.2% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 74% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Triple-A.

  • Premium position

    2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    11 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JRI — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JRI

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $6.99 costs 1.40× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

54 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 53 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 47 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Justin Riemer Bowman 1st Base Auto #CDA-JRI

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 26d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $4.99

    modeled ~$9.26

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Red Sox

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 237d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.18

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Red Sox

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 237d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.18

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st AUTO Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Red Sox

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 237d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.18

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Justin Riemer Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-JRI Red Sox

    Red · raw · condition not stated · listed 34d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.90

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Justin Riemer 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAJRI Boston Red Sox 1

    Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.50

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder12 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $4.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Blue WaveTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $18.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +266%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.62, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +8%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • RedTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.18, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -74%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +35%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $10.29, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +47%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $17.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +74%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +22%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $14.58, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -14%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $81.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +456%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $1005.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    1 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1142%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 46 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level

    18.2% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    37

    well below · better than 9% at his level

    .000 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level

    9.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    57

    above average · better than 75% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .855 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 37th percentile of the cohort, production at the 75th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 95% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 37 and his production sits at 75, a gap of -38. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 5th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.8 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

11

AVG

.400

OBP

.455

SLG

.400

OPS

.855

better than 75%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

9.1

K%

18.2

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .698 to .855 after moving up to Triple-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from High-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.698.855

Power

.043.000

Walks

22.9%9.1%

Strikeouts

19.7%18.2%

Last season, 279 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market54 listed · 54 eBay-verified · 47 not shown above
Listings
54

54 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$4.99
Median ask
$10.42
Cheapest 1st auto
$4.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$6.99

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 47 cards

  • $6.502023 Bowman Draft Justin Riemer 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CDAJRI Boston Red Sox 2LOTTERY
  • $6.902023 Bowman Draft Justin Riemer Chrome Auto 1st #CDA-JRI Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $6.992023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JRI Justin Riemer 1st Chrome Refractor Auto /499 Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $7.592023 Bowman Draft Justin Riemer 1st Chrome Prospect Auto #CDA-JRI Boston Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $7.992023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto z7dLOTTERY
  • $8.112023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto 0l44LOTTERY
  • $8.112023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto 0l44LOTTERY
  • $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto 1i72LOTTERY
  • $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto 14luLOTTERY
  • $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto 01wtLOTTERY
  • $8.122023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto a8rLOTTERY
  • $8.99Justin Riemer 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CDA-JRILOTTERY
  • $8.992023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CDA-JRILOTTERY
  • $10.292023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto z7dLOTTERY
  • $10.422023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto v3rLOTTERY
  • $11.502023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Justin Riemer #CDA-JRLOTTERY
  • $12.202023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer 1st Prospect Auto #CDA-JRI Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $12.242023 Bowman Chrome Justin Riemer 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 #CDA-JRI Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $12.722023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 245/499 Justin Riemer Auto 16s2LOTTERY
  • $12.942023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer 1st Bowman Auto Boston Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $12.992023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JRI Justin Riemer 1st Prospect Chrome Base Auto Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $13.202023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #JRI Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $13.98Justin Riemer #/150 HTA Choice Mojo Refractor Rookie Auto 2023 Bowman Chrome 1stLOTTERY
  • $14.442023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Refractor 338/499 Justin Riemer Auto 1p3oLOTTERY
  • $14.582023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI 1st Green Lava Auto #/99 Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $16.992023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer 1st Prospect Mojo Refractor Auto /150LOTTERY
  • $17.952023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer HTA Choice 1st Auto #/150 AC 9.5 /10LOTTERY
  • $18.24Justin Riemer 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Blue Wave Auto 1st Boston Red SoxLOTTERY
  • $19.622023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Justin Riemer Auto 1e1aLOTTERY
  • $25.942023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI PSA 9 MINT Auto 0s2wNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $27.452023 1st Bowman Chrome Justin Riemer True Blue Auto /150 PSA MINT 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $40.702023 Bowman Draft - Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI 1st Chrome Auto Red Sox SGC 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $81.00Justin Riemer 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Auto Gold Refractor /50 Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $1005.902023 Bowman Chrome Draft Justin Riemer Superfractor 1st Rookie Card RC Auto 1/1NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft JUSTIN RIEMER 1st Chrome Auto CDA-JRINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Justin Riemer CDA-JRI Auto 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JRI Justin Riemer Chrome Draft Auto RefractorNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PROSPECT AUTO JUSTIN RIEMER RED SOXNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Justin Riemer 1st Bowman Auto #CDA-JRI Red Sox B7NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto Justin Riemer #CDA-JRI Auto (2)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-JRI Justin Riemer 1st Prospect Chrome Base Auto Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Justin Riemer - RED SOX- 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto!! 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Justin Riemer Blue Wave Auto /150 PSA MINT 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Blue Wave Refractor /150 Justin Riemer Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2023 Bowman Draft Justin Riemer Chrome Prospect Auto Aqua Lava /199 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $30.762023 Bowman Draft Justin Riemer 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player