Deal Sniper

Ethan Petry

CF · Double-A · 22.0y · #378 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

68 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

17 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Petry Chrome Auto…. Priced above value.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Ethan Petry scores 68 out of 100 (#378 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (33.6% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.

  • Contact: well below

    33.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .800 last season to .778 this one.

  • Power: plus

    .252 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 92% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    Low-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 40 on the 20–80 scale (33.6% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

No rung of his has both a live ask and a confirmed sold value, so there is no measured entry today.

$12.40 delivered on his closest listing is where the evidence would support a buy.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

17 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 17 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 11 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft Ethan Petry Auto Orange Wave Refractor #/25 1st Nats

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 12d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $46.50–55.50

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects ETHAN PETRY 1st Bowman SAPPHIRE GOLD AUTO /50 MINT

    /50 · raw · takes offers · listed 145d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $325.00

    modeled $37.20–44.40

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Ethan Petry 2025 1st Bowman Auto Gold Sapphire /50 Au RC Nats (CPA-EP)

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 70d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $37.20–44.40

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Petry Chrome Auto Yellow Bowman 1st 02/75 Nationals

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 75d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $31–37

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Lava /99 #CPA-EP Ethan Petry

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $107.50

    modeled $27.90–33.30

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Ethan Petry 1st True Blue Auto /150 Nationals

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 29d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $23.25–27.75

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Ethan Petry, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $37.99–$79.78, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $86.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $86.98 live
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Green Lava /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $107.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $107.50 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +24%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $191.54, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $191.54 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +78%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $325.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $325.00 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +70%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    40

    well below · better than 15% at his level

    33.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    64

    plus · better than 92% at his level

    .252 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    7.9% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level

    6 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    55

    above average · better than 70% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .778 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 41th percentile of the cohort, production at the 70th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 90% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 41 and his production sits at 70, a gap of -29. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 10th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.2 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

214

AVG

.227

OBP

.299

SLG

.479

OPS

.778

better than 70%

HR

13

SB

2

BB%

7.9

K%

33.6

Is this player getting better?

Down from .800 to .778 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.

Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.800▼.778

Power

.127▲.252

Walks

12.9%▼7.9%

Strikeouts

24.8%▲33.6%

Last season, 101 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25 — $18.99 plus $1.25 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market17 listed · 17 eBay-verified · 11 not shown above
Listings
17

17 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$75.98
Median ask
$178.76
Cheapest 1st auto
$75.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$86.98

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 11 cards

  • —2025 Bowman Draft Sapphire Ethan Petry 1st Bowman Auto /199 #CPA-EPPASS
  • $86.98Ethan Petry 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Aqua Lava /199 Auto FirstPASS
  • $75.98Ethan Petry 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto Rookie RC PSA Authentic AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $165.98Ethan Petry 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Refractor Auto RC #60/150 PSA AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $255.98Ethan Petry 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Gold Geometric Ref Auto RC #22/50 PSA AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $339.982025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Ethan Petry Yellow Refractor Auto /75 PSA 10 Gem MTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Draft - Chrome Prospect Auto Ethan Petry #CPA-EP HTA /150 PSA 10!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Petry 1st Purple Auto /250 PSA 10 Nationals Pop 3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $191.542025 Bowman Chrome Draft Sapphire Prospect Green 55/99 Ethan Petry Auto 4k8PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Petry Bowman 1st Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 CPA-EPPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Petry Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EP NationalsPASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now