Brandon Winokur
CF · Double-A · 21.0y · #378 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait
68 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $11.49, over the $8 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Brandon Winokur 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Brandon Winokur scores 68 out of 100 (#378 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+3.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 97% of the players there.
Plate discipline: below average
7.9% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Power: above average
.186 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 73% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: above average
29 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 68% at his level.
Why now
3 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Brandon Winokur #CDA-BWN Auto 0g27 at $36.87, 361% over the $8 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $8 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
11 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 11 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 5 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Draft Brandon Winokur Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CDA-BWN - Twins RC
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 33d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 55h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $8
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Brandon Winokur 1st TRUE BLUE Refractor Auto /150 CDA-BWN
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 837d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
—
modeled $12
PASS
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Brandon Winokur #CDA-BWN PSA 6 Auto 14tz
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$17.89
no sold price
LOTTERY
2023 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Brandon Winokur #CDA-BWN Mint PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · listed 18d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$34.90
modeled ~$94.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Brandon Winokur 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Autograph PSA 9
base · PSA 9 · listed 8d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$94.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Brandon Winokur 1st Auto True Orange /25 PSA 10
/25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 17d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
6 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level
28.7% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 73% at his level
.186 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
45
below average · better than 30% at his level
7.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
55
above average · better than 68% at his level
29 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
55
above average · better than 69% at his level · the result, not a skill
.777 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill
+3.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 69th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 69, a gap of -18. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 22th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.7 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
164
AVG
.262
OBP
.329
SLG
.448
OPS
.777
better than 69%
HR
7
SB
8
BB%
7.9
K%
28.7
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .692 to .777 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.692▲.777
Power
.162▲.186
Walks
8.3%→7.9%
Strikeouts
24.8%▲28.7%
Last season, 529 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 5 not shown above
- Listings
- 11
- Lowest seen
- $11.49
- Median ask
- $19.33
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $34.90
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- —
11 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.
The other 5 cards
- —2023 Bowman Draft Brandon Winokur Chrome Autograph Topps 1st PSA 9 Card AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Brandon Winokur Auto TRUE Gold /50 #CDA-BWN (AU, RC) PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $11.49Brandon Winokur Auto 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-BWN Chrome Prospect AutographsLOTTERY
- $19.332023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Brandon Winokur #CDA-BWN Auto 0j0oLOTTERY
- $36.872023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Brandon Winokur #CDA-BWN Auto 0g27PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run