Deal Sniper

Jordyn Adams

CF · Nashville Sounds · Triple-A · 26.0y · #4944 of 7,922 we rate

The player
LONG SHOT

29 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

24 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Long-shot prospect, untested market.

Jordyn Adams scores 29 out of 100 (#4944 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 44 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 93% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 54 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Contact: well below

    37.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    44 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 93% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Elite speed (93th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    54 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 36 on the 20–80 scale (37.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JA — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JA

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $7.38 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

24 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 23 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 17 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2018 Bowman Chrome Jordyn Adams Auto 1st Chrome BGS 9.5 / 10 Gem Mint True Gem

    /10 · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 409d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $30.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue Wave Refractor Jordyn Adams Auto /150 Los Angeles

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $39.99

    modeled ~$6.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • JORDYN ADAMS 2018 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST DRAFT BLACK REFRACTOR AUTO /75 BGS 9

    /75 · BGS 9 · takes offers · listed 870d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $306.49

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Chrome Jordyn Adams 1st Bowman Auto /99 PSA Gem Mint 10 Angels

    /99 · raw · takes offers · listed 8d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 60h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordyn Adams Base Auto BGS 9.5 1st Angels GEM MT

    base · BGS 9.5 · takes offers · listed 1876d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled ~$35.95

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • JORDYN ADAMS 2018 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME 1ST RC AUTO PSA 9 MINT LOS ANGELES ANGELS

    base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 1104d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled ~$17.95

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $7.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $7.38 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $39.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $39.99 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +442%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

16 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 46 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    36

    well below · better than 8% at his level

    37.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level

    .102 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    39

    well below · better than 14% at his level

    5.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    65

    plus-plus · better than 93% at his level

    44 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    40

    well below · better than 16% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .570 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 36th percentile of the cohort, production at the 16th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 36 and his production sits at 16, a gap of +20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 79th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.4 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

54

AVG

.204

OBP

.264

SLG

.306

OPS

.570

better than 16%

HR

0

SB

4

BB%

5.6

K%

37.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market24 listed · 24 eBay-verified · 17 not shown above
Listings
24

24 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$7.38
Median ask
$26.48
Cheapest 1st auto
$7.38
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$30.00

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 17 cards

  • $7.382018 1ST BOWMAN CHROME AUTO - JORDYN ADAMS - CDA-JA - ANGELS - NRMT/MT!LOTTERY
  • $26.492018 Bowman Draft Jordyn Adams Chrome Draft Pick Auto Refractor PSA 10 #/499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $39.462018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Jordyn Adams #CDA-JA PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 0i6pNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $1505.002018 Bowman Chrome Jordyn Adams SUPERFRACTOR AUTO 1/1 BGS 9.5 Class of 2018NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2018 Bowman Chrome Draft AUTO Jordyn Adams ROOKIE RC PSA 10 GEM MT NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.292018 Bowman Chrome Draft Auto JORDYN ADAMS 1st Bowman Baltimore ORIOLES #CDA-JALOTTERY
  • $11.252018 Bowman Chrome Jordyn Adams Auto Autograph 1st Chrome QtyLOTTERY
  • $16.22Jordyn Adams 2018 1st Bowman Chrome Draft Auto CDA-JA Angels Prospect RookieLOTTERY
  • $20.982018 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT AUTO JORDYN ADAMS 1ST BOWMAN ROOKIE CARD RC LA ANGELSLOTTERY
  • $26.48JORDYN ADAMS 2018 Bowman Chrome Draft ~ Angels ROOKIE ~ BGS 9.5 ~ AUTO 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $42.032018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Jordyn Adams #CDA-JA BGS 9.5 GEM MINT Auto n0cNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $120.232018 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Blue Wave Refractor Jordyn Adams BGS 9.5 Auto 5g3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Jordyn Adams 2018 Bowman Chrome on Card Auto BGS 9.5/10 TRUE GEM AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.95Jordyn Adams Rookie Card 2018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Auto #Cdaja PSA 9LOTTERY
  • —Jordyn Adams ��2018 Bowman Chrome Draft �� Prospect Auto Autograph PSA 9 AngelsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $14.752018 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordyn Adams RC Rookie AUTO ANGELS PSA-9 MINTLOTTERY
  • $14.502018 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Pick Jordyn Adams #CDA-JA Auto 1s6LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now